If you are fun of football and sports betting then you definitely know sportpesa’s crown jewel the sportpesa mega jackpot that provides football/sports betting enthusiasts with a chance to be overnight millionaires.
On the line this week is KES 236,000,000 for anyone with the luck, the acumen to accurately analyze and correctly predict the 17 football matches that sportpesa mega jackpot comprises of.
To many who have tried and failed to crack the sportpesa mega jackpot it appears to be an impossibility and a waste of time and money but is it really?
Can the sportpesa mega jackpot be cracked and if the answer is yes then how do you go about achieving some semblance of success and be the lucky few who do actually become overnight millionaires?
I have been chasing the gold at the end of the rainbow and what i have come to learn is that it may be easier to target the bonuses offered with are easy to grasp low-hanging fruits than it is to try and win the whole shebang.
How do I go about winning the bonuses on offer you may ask?
I will not lie and say it is easily achieved but I will go ahead and show you the formula I use to pick some of these low-hanging bonuses a couple of times a year.
Steps I take:
Step 1: I set a target of the bonus I am aiming for and most of the time the target is usually 13/17 to 14/17. The reason I choose this band of bonuses is so that when I have a mishap lady luck my grace my analysis booth and gift me 12/17 which at times provides a bonus of up to KES 25,000
Step 2:Now that I have my target in my sights I now have to figure out how to crack the puzzle that is a 17 game multibet for the mega jackpot is actually a multibet consisting of 17 games. The great aspect about this 17 game multibet is that you are given a chance to lose 5 games and still come out with some cash in your betting account wallet
Step 3:Of all the 17 games offered on sportpesa mega jackpot statistically you will not miss 5 or six games that have a direct meaning through some research on historical data you may be able to correctly predict these games. These are what we call the anchor games and those that we undertake extensive research on to ensure that we get them correctly. Once your anchor games go through you are almost guaranteed a bonus. Be keen on your research when it comes to these games.
Step 4:Once you have your five or six anchor games you are on your way to a bonus and you require an additional 7 or 8 games to work out for you to win the bonus. There is no sure way of accurately predicting these 7 or 8 games that we will call the support games as you have already sieved out the anchor games which account for your mostly certain predictions. The trick here is to use hedging which simply means creating 3 to 5 sportpesa mega jackpot slips all having similar predictions for your anchor games but having variable predictions for your 7 or 8 support games. Now the support game predictions should not be random but rather based on some sort of research that should give you a double chance idea of where the game will lean towards and these double chances are what should be used mostly with one slip left for what we call the outside chance meaning the most unlikely 3-way outcome
What do I mean by this? see below
Step 5:Once you have concluded the above steps you will be then left with three or four games that you have not yet predicted. Go random on these based on the odds assigned meaning using the two lowest odd offering for odds are a reflection of the bookie’s risk matrix. We can do this because 3 games account for 18% of the games and as such the random selection will have very little influence on the outcome but most often than not one or two of these games will go your way because the random selections based on odds still account for the 3-way probabilities.
Step 4: Now let’s talk about money mathematics. You actually don’t need to win a bonus every weekend to make money on sportpesa mega jackpot.
For example, if you got 12/17 on last week’s mega jackpot you would have won a bonus of KES 21,522 and you had used a stake of KES 500 for the five slips then it means you now have the capability to play the sportpesa mega jackpot for the next 40 weeks. This means you mostly need about two to four wins a year to be profitable when you average 12/17 and when you average 13/17 which was KES 112,127 you just need one to two wins a year and you can be among the few sports betting enthusiasts who profit from sportpesa and in turn the mega jackpot.
It may not be easy but it is doable and with multibet Kenya’s advanced methodologies that leverage algorithms and technology you stand a chance at a bonus this weekend
Everyone dreams of winning the Sportpesa mega jackpot but very few are willing to put in the hard work. Winning even the bonus requires deep research as getting 12 games correct is a tall order.
How then does one increase their chances of winning the jackpot or at least win the bonus?
First thing you need to conduct deep level research. Head to head comparison does not constitute as research. It’s great to gloss over two teams recent performance but digging deeper is mandatory.We have this guide by Inplayman on the various levels of research and how to go about it .
The Levels of Research I like to split research into different levels and that can help you understand a little better too. There is low-level research, mid-level research and high-level research. If you can master the techniques from all 3 areas, you’ll have this betting nailed. But before I continue, let me just say that by Low-level research, I don’t mean that is poor research. I’ve bet on things many a time on low-level research, but I’d adjust my stakes accordingly.
Low-Level Research If you or a tipster you follow does this it’s for one of 3 reasons. Either you don’t really care if it wins or loses, you’re short on time or you’re being lazy. Whichever one of those it is, it doesn’t really matter. When it comes to inplay betting, the most low-level research you can do is simply looking at which team is on top and placing a bet on them. Or seeing loads of shots on target and just backing goals blindly. Pre-game low-level research could be classed as simply looking at the WDWWLL next to a team for their last 6 games.
Mid-Level Research Now this is where things get a bit more time consuming, but by mid-level research I mean conciously looking into what you’re backing. What’s the home team’s form at home? How many goals have been scored in their last 3 meetings? Before you back the first half goals, how many games at home this season have had a first half goal? Before you back the corners, how many do they average? What are their recent results against teams in a similar league position to the team that they are playing today? Now some of this you can find out easily on the internet (see my research sources at the bottom) but some of it might just be in your head. For example, I know that Liverpool have averaged around 11.5 corners per game this season, that’s just in my head and if you can keep stats like that locked away in your brain, it allows for quicker decisions, which is what’s needed when you’re betting inplay.
High-Level Research Now let’s take it a step further. Teams are made up of 11 players right, so you need to understand those players. How have Bayern performed this season without Lewandowski? Who is playing and who is missing? How long are they out for? Has there been a managerial change recently? Are the fans planning a protest? Are there any new signings and if so how did they perform at their last club? Knowing all of this is high-level research and can really help to take your betting to the next level. Of course there are more techniques than this like watching a live stream and loads more, but learning everything you can possibly know puts you in such a solid position as a punter.
So I did a load of research like you said, and my bet lost… Let me tell you a little story. A few years ago I found out some insider information on a Bulgarian team. There had been some real developments at the club and players hadn’t been paid, which basically resulted in some form of strike so with an away game the next day, they had no option but to send the youth team to play against a side who were flying in the league. There’s more to it, but I went big on this bet. The home side should have beaten them anyway even with a full strength lineup, but the odds were too good to turn down, so I went for it (within my staking plan). Cut a long story short, the kids went there and played out of their skins and ended up winning 0-1. Why? Probably because they had a point to prove, they wanted to be in the first team and I never factored this into my calculations. What did I do? Well after the initial anger, I dusted myself off and got straight back to researching, in the knowledge that long-term, my research pays off. It’s hard I know, but forget it. If you’re going to these levels to do research, it will pay off eventually.
Where can I do this research? There are hundreds of great sites out there and in honesty, it depends on the level of research you want to do, but to help you out, here’s a list and a brief summary of a few websites I used, or used to use:
Twitter – why not start here? Nearly every team in the world has a Twitter page where they post lineups and team news. Make the most of it!
Team Websites – again, nearly every team in the world has a team website, and if you don’t speak their language, Google Chrome can automatically translate it for you Soccerway– a common site which is decent form comparing form and seeing some lineups as well as most squads. Most people only use it for the form but there are also some great other stats on there if you dig around SoccerStats – great for statistical analysis such as goals scorer / concededed, when they are scored, scorelines and general statty stuff. TransferMarkt– great for the player side of things. Who plays for who, when did they sign, what’s their value, how many goals have they scored. Covers all the major leagues and is a great little addition Futbol24 – I mainly use this app to notify me when a goal is scored but their website also has some pretty decent stats on it too when you want to compare form and H2H FootballData – only use this if you know what you’re doing around an Excel sheet. From the major leagues you can export a CSV which contains basically a load of raw data. If you’re good with your pivot tables and formulas you can do a lot with these sheets Blogabet – worth a little look on here if you haven’t before. Basically loads of people just posting random tips on a forum, but every now and again you get a right gem of info to use to your advantage
League / Association websites – great to find previews and things like that on games NewsNow – you might have heard of this site before, but it basically goes and scours news sites from all over the world. So this can be BBC Gloucester or some local newspaper website that might have a little preview of the game you’re looking for. Very clever addition to your arsenal this is.
SimpleSoccerStats – great little site for some simple consoles on stats of teams in the major leagues. Also features a very decent corners console
As football enthusiasts we all dream of hitting the all elusive 12/17 to 16/17 on the coveted mega jackpot and clear a few hundred thousand to a few millions but how easy is it to actually actualise this dream and is it a fool’s errand to believe that it can be done?
Let’s tackle this enigma and find out if we really can out play or out maneuver the bookies aka “muhindi”
So let’s start with the math. What are your chances of hitting a bonus or winning the whole shebang would be the first question and we have addressed that on the below table
1 in 129,140,163
1 in 43,046,721
1 in 14,348,907
1 in 4,782,969
1 in 1,594,323
1 in 531,441
As you can see the odds are not in our favor as it would take 531,441 Mega jackpot slips to be sure of winning 12/17 so do we give up or is there another way?
Using Math/statistics to increase your chances:
The advantage about sports betting and especially football is that there is an abundant amount of historical data, real time injury reporting, social media following of players and so much more that can be used to tip the scales in a punter’s favor.
If you are able to leverage this data to accurately predict 5/17 games, then your chance at a bonus of 12/17 increases to 1 in 2187 from 1 in 531,441.
The Nature of the mega jackpot:
Sportpesa employee extensive resources to ensure that they pick 34 of the most closely matched teams to make up the mega jackpot. The split between each team winning and a draw is almost 33% in favor of each outcome and that is why you will never miss a few draws in the contests. However there are always those three or four games that have an almost clear outcome of which you can use to create few slips to hedge the rest of the games.This may increase your chances at a bonus for the average minimum bonus for 12/17 is above KES 2500 and sometimes goes up to KES 50,000 so if you place an average of 5 slips per weekend and you win a bonus on the 7th or 8th weekend you will mostly likely make a profit on your investment.
As multibet we leverage all these methodologies and more in an effort to chase these elusive bonuses and we have had some success on this.
This week’s Mega Jackpot features a collection of teams from less popular Leagues around the world. Therefore a deeper analysis is required for improved betting knowledge. It is important for one to understand the facts and statistics relating to the fixtures. With that in mind, below is a game to Sportpesa Mega Jackpot Prediction – Post Match Analysis of the listed Matches, Which should guide your bet slip creation process.
ROPS ROVANIEMI vs SEINAJOEN JK
In Finland’s Veikkausliiga RoPs Rovaniemi will play Seinajoen JK as their opponents in the Rovaniemen keskuskenttä stadium. RoPs are 9th on the table having played 9 matches in the Veikkausliiga.They have won 3 games drawn 1 and lost 5 matches.They have scored 6 goals and conceded 11 goals.In their last five home matches they have 2 wins and 3 losses.
Seinajoen JK is in 4th place having played 9 matches in the league registering 3 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses, scoring 9 goals and conceding 8 goals. Their current away form stands at 3 draws 1 win and 1 loss. In the last 6 matches these teams have met Seinajoen JK have won 4 times while RoPs Rovaniemi has won twice. Seinajoen JK looks good on paper but judging by their meetings any team can win or draw in the match up.
NEWPORT vs TRANMERE In the England – League Two Play Off Final Newport county will meet Tranmere Rovers at Wembley Stadium a single game stands in the way for these teams to witness their dream come to reality. After making it through the semi-finals, both teams are preparing for this challenge, the price a being promotion the higher division.
Newport had to deal with Mansfield in a tough Semifinal that they won on penalties. Tranmere, on the other hand, won their semi-finals on an aggregate scoreline. Considering this is a final one-off affair, either squad will be fighting to the last minute.
In their head to head comparison, Two of the last three games were goalless drawn. Newport has had an unbeaten record. Except for one match. Newport is obviously in better form and has been unbeaten in their last 12 matches. Comparatively, Tranmere had not had a win in seven of their last nine fixtures. Importantly, Newport holds an unbeaten record over Tranmere. Considering recent form, and domination in head to head comparison, count on Newport to avoid a loss at any cost. Predictably, this could be a Newport win or a draw.
HAPOEL BEER SHEEVA vs MACCABI TEL AVIV
In the Israel League at Toto Turner Stadium stadium, Beersheba, Hapoel Beer Sheeva will be playing Maccabi Tel aviv in a game where fans are expecting a match-up between two star players, Hapoel’s Ben sahar who has 15 goals in all competitions and Maccabi’s Eliran Atar who has 19 goals are the topscorers in their respective teams.Maccabi still boast of Atzili and cohen each with 11 goals in comparison to Hapoel’s second place scorer Maman who has 7 goals.
Maccabi are League leaders with 66 points. In 26 games played they havent lost a single match recording a remarkable 20 wins and 6 draws. In comparison to fouth placed Hapoel who have also played 26 matches with 39 points broken down to 10 wins, 9 draws and 9 losses.
Hapoel Beer Sheva have averagely scored 1.43 goals per match in 16 matches played at home while Maccabi Tel Aviv have averagely scored 2.00 goals per match in 20 matches played away. Maccabi have 3 wins and 2 draws in their last five matches while Hapoel have 3 wins 2 draws and a loss. This fixture might end in a Maccabi win or a draw.
MACCABI NENTANYA vs MACCABI HAIFA Maccabi Netanya is currently In the 3rd place in the Ligat-Al table. Last game they played they lost to Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv in which they lost at home, There will be alot of expectations surrounding Maccabi Nentanya’s topscorers Fatos Beciraj who has 15 goals and Guy Melamed who has 10 goals. In comparison to Haifa’s Rukavytsya who has 10 goals.
Haifa are in second place with 44 points garnered from 26 matches with a breakdown of 12 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses.Whereas Nentanya have 43 points from 26 matches with a breakdown of 12 wins 7 draws and 7 losses. In their current form both teams have four wins and two draws each. In their last five meetings both teams drew twice, Nentanya won 2 times and Haifa won once. This mostly looks like a Maccabi Nentanya win or a draw due to their league table placement.
FC CINCINNATI vs NEWYORK REDBULLS
This will be a match in the American Major League soccer.The match will be played on Nippert stadium. FC Cincinnati is currently at 22nd place in the overall Mls which is a combination of Eastern conference and western confrence.Newyork Red bulls are 12th in the table and look to be the dominant side as these two teams battle it out.
Fc Cincinnati have played 13 matches registering 3 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses which adds up to 11 points in comparison to Newyork Redbull’s 17 points acquired from playing 12 games which can be broken down to 5 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses. Fc Cincinnati’s home record in the last five matches stands at 2 wins, 2 losses, and 1 draw. While Newyork redbull’s away form stands at 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses.
This two teams have only met twice before, In the Us open cup and Major league soccer. In both instances Newyork redbull won the match 2-3 in the open cup an 1-0 last month when they were playing at home. Fc Cincinnati top scorer is Darren Mattocks with only 2 goals in comparison to Redbull’s Daniel Royer who has 7 goals. It is highly expected that Newyork Red bulls will bag a win but a draw is very likely to occur since New york Red bull’s away losses and draws have been against teams that are below them on the table notably New England, Kansas city, Chicago fire and Columbus.
COLORADO RAPIDS vs COLUMBUS CREW
This will be another match that will be played in the American Major league soccer between bottom placed colorado rapids at number 24 on the table and 15th placed Columbus crew. The home team has only registered 1 win, 2 draws and 9 losses in the 12 matches that they have played, In comparison to the away team that has 5 wins, 1 draw and 8 losses in the 14 matches that they have played.
Colorado have 5 points while columbus crew have 16 points. Colorado’s home form is poor having acquired 4 losses in their last 4 matches, which is similar to columbus crew’s record who have lost their last 5 away matches. In the head to head anaylsis of their last 5 meetings, both teams have drawn twice, Columbus have won twice and Colorado once.
It will be up to the likes of Kel Ansu kamara from colorado rapids with 7 goals and Gyasi Zardes of columbus with 4 goals to try and win the match for their teams.This looks like a colorado rapids win or a draw for both teams as they battle it out o the pitch.
MONTEDIO YAMAGATA vs ZWIENGEN KANAZAWA
In Japan’s J.League 2 Goal scorers Jefferson Baiano who has 4 goals for Yamagata and Giovanni Clunie who has 3 goals will be expected to score goals for their respective teams in this match-up.Yamagata are at the top of the table with 28 points having played 14 matches with 8 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses viz a viz Kanazawa who are 7th place and a point away from 4th, 5th and 6th placed Ventforet Kofu, Kashiwa Reysol and Kyoto Sanga Fc respectively.Kanazawa have 6 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in the 14 matches they have played so far.
In their Last 5 meetings both teams have drawn once, Kanazawa has won 3 times whereas Yamagata has won twice. In relation to the wins, The team that was playing at home won the match and when they drew Kanazawa was playing at home. If the same pattern ensues, It is very likely that Montedio Yamagata will win this match with a home turf advantage.
URAWA RED DIAMONDS vs SANFRECCE
Saitama stadium will be the place where these two opponents shall test each other in Japan’s top League soccer known as Japan J League. In terms of statistics these two teams have similar records, both have 17 points which they got from 5 wins 2 draws and 5 losses.
Their goals difference is what sets them apart on the table with Hiroshima at 8th place having scored more goals and conceded less (12:9) than Urawa Red Diamonds. The hosts have scored 10 goals and conceded 13 goals in 12 matches comparatively. Urawa have lost 3 games, won 1 and drew once in their recent home matches, while their opponents Sanfrecce Hiroshima have 2 losses and 3 wins in their recent matches away from home.
In their Last 5 meetings Urawa red Diamonds have won 3 matches while sanfrecce Hiroshima have only won once. There was a draw that ensued between the two in april of last year when Hiroshima was playing at home. Urawa are expected to dispay a similar perfomance to replicate their recent meeting in which they beat Hiroshima 4 goals to 1 in july of last year while they were playing away from home. VISSEL KOBE vs SHONAN BELMARE
This is another fixture in the Japan’s J league that will see 15th placed Vissel Kobe play 9th placed Shonan Belmare at Noevir Stadium. The hosts have 10 points in 12 matches played, translating to 3 wins, 1 draw and 8 losses. On the other hand the visitors have 17 points from 5 wins, 2 draws and 5 Losses after playing 12 matches. In goals scored versus goals conceded Kobe have 15:22 as in comparison to Belmare who have 16:15.
Therefore Kobe are at a lower position due to conceding more goals most likey in the matches they have lost. They are only a goal behind Belmare, More importantly Vissel kobe have won three matches in their last five meetings with Shonan Belmare who have won only two games. Interestingly in those five meetings whomever was playing away from home won the match with an exception one instance where Kobe got a win while playing at home.
In recent matches, Belmare have registered 3 wins and 2 losses in comparison to Kobe’s home form which stands at 3 losses, 1 draw and 1 win in their last five fixtures. This is clearly anybody’s match but dont be too quick to rule out a Belmare win.
MJALLBY vs GAIS
In Sweden’s Superettan 2nd place MJALLBY will host GAIS in a match that both teams will be trying to win. MJALLBY are only a point ahead of 3rd place Ik Brage with 18 points, Secured after 6 wins and 3 losses in 9 matches played. While GAIS have 13 points with just one point away from Degerfors with 13 aquired from playing 9 matches in which they won three games, drew in other four games and two losses.
MJALLBY will be going in to this match with expectation of retaining their 2nd place position by winning while GAIS will be looking to go over 2 teams above them to 4th place if the teams Degerfors and J-Sodra draw or loose. MJALLBY’s current form is a remarkable 5 wins and one loss in their last six matches as compared to GAIS who have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in six matches. MJALLBY are favourites to win in this match-up as they look to extend their winning form.
TORNS IF vs LANDSKRONA BOIS
Sweden’s Division one will present this match in the Tornvallen stadium in which 5th place Torns IF will battle it out with 2nd placed Landskrona Bois.With only 8 matches played by both teams. Torns have won four games, Drawn in two games and Lost two matches. Which enabled them to get 14 points. On the otherhand Landskrona Bois have won four games and drawn in other four games. They have not lost a single match which totals to 16 points,They are only 2 points away from league leaders Skovde who have 18 points.
In regards to current home form, Torns have earned a single win, two draws and two losses in their last five fixtures, In comparison to Landskrona’s current away form that has enabled them to register two wins, two draws and one loss. This is a match that could go either way and a draw is also possible. Even though Torns have a home turf advantage.
CHARLTON vs SUNDERLAND
This will be a play-off final in which Charlton secured their place after beating Doncaster Rovers thanks to Darren Pratley who ensured they got to penaltie. Their coach Lee Bowyer will be looking to play striker Lyle Taylor. On the other hand Sunderland got to the final after dealing with portsmouth.Chris Maguire will be the man to watch on sunderlands side.
Both teams drew once and Sunderland bagged a win while at home in their two recent meetings. Charlton look to be the better team with 4 wins in their five recent matches, In comparison to Sunderland who have one win, two draws and two losses, in their recent five matches. Even though Charlton looks like the better team, When it comes to a final at the Wembley Stadium it usually comes down to who wants it more and individual talents by gifted players, Further more this is match that could see a team get promoted. This is the type of match that will be buzzing with scouts and Sunderland will not be short off winning mentality.
DUNAREA CALARASI vs GAZ METAN MEDIAS
In Romania’s Liga 1, a match-up between this two teams will be held at Dunarea Calarasi’s home turf the Stadionul lon comsa, where 6th place hosts will welcome 2nd placed visitors. Both teams have registered three goaless draws in their last three meetings which makes this match a very tough oune to call out.
However statistically the visitors have 7 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in 11 matches played giving them 39 points in Comparison to the hosts who have 3 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in 12 matches played giving them 25 points. The hosts home form stands at 2 wins, 2 draws and one loss in their last five matches while the visitors have 3wins and 2 losses in their last five away matches. Notably Gaz Metan Medias will be missing a key defender Maurius constatin who was sent off in their recent game with Fc Botosani. If the curse of a tie is broken then it will be the visitors who break it.
RANHEIM vs STROMSGODSET
This is a match under Norway’s Eliteserien in which 9th placed hosts welcome 10th placed visitors in a clash separated by a point in the current table standings. Ranheim have 10 points in 9 matches played thus 3 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses in comparison to Stromsgodset who have 9 points in 9 matches elaborated further as 2 wins 3 draws and 4 losses .
In the last four meetings Stromsgodset have won 2 matches in which they were playing at home. Both teams drew twice in matches where Ranheim was playing at home, If the same form is replicated then the match could end in a draw. However we must consider how the teams faired in their last 6 matches. Ranheim has won 4 and lost 2 of their last 6 matches whereas Stromsgoset has 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 matches which makes Ranheim a favorite if the match does not end in a draw.
KAYSERISPOR vs ERZURUM BB
Turkish Super Lig there will be an interesting match between 11th placed kayserispor and 17th placed Erzurum BB who are relegation prone. A win for the visitors would garner them a deserved 3 points that might take them away from relegation if closely positioned Bursaspor and Goztepe slip up in their upcoming matches.Kayserispor will also be looking to climb up higher on the table
Kayserispor have 41points in 33 matches in which they have won 10, drawn 11 and lost 12. Comparatively Erzurum BB have 32 points in 33 matches with 7 wins, 11 draws and 15 losses.In their last 6 matches kayserispor have won once, drawn twice and lost thrice while the visitors have won thrice, drawn once and lost twice.These two teams drew the last time they met at Erzurum’s home turf.Anyone would clearly lean on kayserispor’s side due to statistics but Erzurum BB is a team fighting for relagation so this match could have any outcome.
LOKOMOTIVA ZAGREB vs HNK GORICA
In the Russian league Zagreb who are 6th on the table with 49 points have 13 wins , 10 draws and 12 losses after playing 35 games .They will be hosting Gorica who are 5th placed with 56 points translating to 16 wins, 8 draws and 11 losses after a similar number of games. In their last four meetings, Lokomotiva has won twice while playing away from home and they have also drawn twice with the opponents while playing at home which shows a likelyhood of a draw.
In their last six matches lokomotiva have registered 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses in comparison to Gorica who have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss. There are some key players that could provide goals to either side, for instance Lokomotiva’s Dejan Radonjic who has 9 goals and Gorica’s clinical polish foward Lukasz Zwolinski who has scored 15 goals. This match could end in a draw if not a zagreb win.
CAGLIARI vs UDINESE
This is a Serie A match which is in the dying embers, this is the last match for both teams.Cagliari also known as the Sardinians drew in their last match with Genoa to climb up to 13th position.Coach Igor Tudor’s Udinese players with be breathing easier thanks to a 3-2 victory over SPAL which ensured their Serie A survival. Star players Leonardo Pavoletti for Cagliari who has 22 goals viz a viz Lasagna who has 19 goals and his team mate Rorigo De paul who has 12 goals.
Cagliari have 41 points in 37 matches played translating to 10 wins, 11 draws and 16 losses as compared to 16th placed relegation survivors Udinese who have 40 points in 37 matches which translate to 10 wins, 10 draws and 17 losses. In their head to head statistics, out of their five previous meetings Cagliari have won three matches while the visitors have won two. Cagliari’s current form in six matches stands at 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses as compared to Udinese who have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses.This match looks like a Cagliari win.
It is another weekend where bet slips have to be made in anticipation of winning the Mega Jackpot if not the lucrative bonuses offered. Therefore it is in our greatest interest to provide an in-depth analysis of the upcoming matches in an effort to help you come up with a winning bet slip. Below is a breakdown of the individual matches in the Mega jackpot.
AFC ESKILSTUNA vs HELSINGBORG
In Sweden’s Allsvenskan Eskilstuna meet Helsingborg in an interesting matchup, Eskilstuna is fifteenth in the league table whereas their opponents Helsingborg are fourteenth on the table with only three points separating them thus Helsingborg have eight points while their opponents have five points. Helsingborg has lost four and drawn one of their last five matches while Eskilstuna has drawn two, lost two, and won one of their last matches. In their last recent two meetings, they drew in one match and Eskilstuna won one match away from home. Statistically, Eskilstuna looks to be the better team with home advantage in this match but due to both teams’ table positioning a draw could ensue.
ALCORCON vs UD EXTREMADURA
Alcorcon will be playing Extremadura in the LaLiga 2. Alcorcon are in eleventh place with 51 points while their opponents Extremadura are in fifteenth place with 45 points with a stellar four wins and one loss in their last five matches while Alcorcon has three losses one draw and one win comparatively. Both teams have won a single match in their last two meetings where the team that was playing at home registered a win. Statistically, Extremadura looks to be the better team but the fact that Alcorcon is playing at home and are above in the table could be anyone’s match or even Steven.
ESPANYOL vs REAL SOCIEDAD
In the Spanish LaLiga ninth placed Real sociedad meet eighth placed Espanyol in a match that will definitely be tough by the mere fact that both teams have a 50 points tie. In their last five meetings the teams have registered two draws, Real sociedad winning twice and Espanyol winning once. Interestingly Espanyol have won twice, drawn twice and lost once while playing at home in comparison to Real sociedad who have won once drawn one and lost three times in their last five matches away from home. Espanyol are favorites to win in this match up in an anticipatory extension of their last home win against strongly second placed Atletico Madrid.
ELCHE vs TENERIFE
In LaLiga 2 Elche will be playing Tenerife. Elche are 12th placed on the table with 50 points while Tenerife are 17th placed on the table with 43 points. Elche are favorites to win having won four and lost only one match in their last home matches. Tenerife have only won one, lost two and drawn two of their last away matches. In the head to head statistics of the last five matches, Tenerife have won two matches in which they were at home, Elche has won one match in which they were also at home while both teams drew twice.
ALAVES vs GIRONA
Alaves will meet relegation prone Girona in the Spanish LaLiga. This will be a tough match as Girona will be looking to upset Alaves. Both teams have drawn twice in their last four meetings and Girona have won two matches. Girona are 17th placed with 37 points while Alaves are 11th placed with 47 points. Girona have lost four and won one of their last five matches away from home while Alaves have won three and drawn two of their last five matches whilst playing at home. This match has a very high chance of ending up a draw if not a Girona win as really need it and hope that Celta Vigo lose next match while overturning a six goal difference.
HUESCA vs LEGANES
This could more or less be termed as a display match considering the fact that Huesca have already been relegated, but it is very common for such teams to put on a great game as they play for the last time in the League. It is highly anticipated that 13th placed Leganes will be the favorites of this match up, as they are slots higher than bottom placed Huesca who are 20th on the table. In their most recent meeting Leganes won at home by a single goal while Huesca have only won a single match, drawn two and lost two while playing at home in their last five games. This could very likely end in a draw as no team will be highly motivated as there is nothing to play for as the LaLiga winds up.
STRASBOURG vs RENNES
This will be a match between two teams in the French Ligue 1 competition that are 11th and 12th placed consecutively on the table with at 46 points tie. The home team Strasbourg are favorites to win with their home advantage and having won two out of three matches in their last meetings with opponents Stade Rennes. Notably Strasbourg won by 4 goals to one while playing away in their last meeting in December last year. Therefore it is highly anticipated that they replicate the magnificent performance this time round with a home turf advantage. Rennes haven’t won a single match in their last five games while playing away from home.
GUINGAMP vs NIMES
Guingamp will be playing Nimes in the French Ligue 1, Guingamp have already been relegated as they are placed 20th at the bottom of the table. However they will definitely be looking to end their Ligue 1 playing time with a good performance considering the fact that they held their opponents to a goalless stalemate while they were playing away from home in their last meeting in September of last year. Nimes current form away from home doesn’t look good with only one win and four losses in their last five matches. Therefore this match could likely go Guingamp’s way or a draw.
PERTH GLORY vs SYDNEY FC
In the Australian League playoffs Perth glory who drew 3-3 and won 5-4 on a penalty shoot out to Adelaide united in the semifinal of the playoffs will be meeting Sydney Fc who thrashed Melbourne victory a whooping six goals to one in their semifinal of the play offs. However Perth Glory’s have won four and lost one of their last five matches in comparison to Sydney fc who have won two, Lost two and drawn once in their last five matches. In the head to head statistics Sydney fc seem to be the favorites having won 11 out of 12 matches they have played against Perth Glory who have only won one match.
EMOPLI vs TORINO
This will be an interesting clash in the Italian Serie A. It will be the second last match for both teams and it is quite significant to both teams because Empoli are 18th on the table with 35 points and facing relegation. A win for them could mathematically put them away from relegation assuming Genoa and Udinese lose or draw in their upcoming matches. On the other hand Torino are 7th placed on the table with 60 points. Mathematically if they win this game and the last one assuming Atalanta Milan and Roma lose or draw in their upcoming matches they could as well finish in fourth place. Even though Torino are favorites to win Empoli will definitely unleash their full capacity in order to avoid relegation. Torino have won once and both teams have drawn twice in their las three meetings.
PARMA FC vs FIORENTINA
Fifteenth placed Parma fc will be facing Fourteenth placed Fiorentina in the Italian Serie A. Parma fc have 38 points while Fiorentina have 40 points. In their recent two meetings Parma fc have won once away from home while both teams drew in the second match. Parma’s recent home form is one win, one draw and one loss, While Fiorentina have lost four matches and drawn one. Statistically Parma look to be the favorites with a home advantage.
CADIZ FC vs OSASUNA
This will be a match in the LaLiga 2 that will feature Cadiz fc who are at the top of the table with 77 points versus 6th placed Osasuna with 62 points. In their last four meetings Osasuna have won three matches while Cadiz fc managed to bag only one win. Cadiz have four draws and one win in their last five matches at home in comparison to their opponents Osasuna who have two wins, two draws and one win in their last five matches away from home. Osasuna look to be the favorites in this match although Cadiz fc have the home advantage.
FC ROSTOV vs ZENIT ST PETERSBURG
In the Russian league 8th placed Rostov who have 38 points meet League leaders Zenit st Petersburg who have 61 points. In their last five meetings Zenit have won two matches, Rostov have won once and both teams have registered a draw in two matches. Zenit are clearly the favorites having beat Rostov away from home in January by five goals to nil, even though they have won two games and drawn three in their last five matches away from home. As compared to Rostov who have won two games, drawn two games and lost one game in their last five home games.
LUGO vs DEPORTIVO LA CORUNA
Eighteenth placed Lugo who are fighting for relegation in LaLiga 2 face seventh placed Deportivo La coruna who have 61 points. Lugo have 41 points. In their recent two meetings both teams drew once and Deportivo La coruna won once. Lugo have two wins, two losses and one draw in their last five home matches, while Deportivo La coruna have three wins, one draw and one loss in their last five away matches. It will be a tough match even though Deportivo La coruna are the favorites.
CORDOBA vs GIMNASTIC TARRAGONA
These are two teams in the LaLIga 2 that both face relegation with a point apart. There won’t be much to fight for in this game although Gimnastic have won three matches as compared to Cordoba who have won two of their last five meetings. Gimnastic have registered a poor away form having lost all five of the recent away games. Which gives an upper hand to Cordoba who have recently won two and lost three of their home matches.
JUVENTUS vs ATALANTA
Italy’s Serie A League leaders Juventus will face fourth place Atalanta who are only one point away from third placed Inter. Therefore Atalanta will be going into this match with a winning mentality in order to go above inter on the table as the season is almost over. Juventus will most likely be relaxed as this match just looks like a formality to them as they have already won the title. This match could easily end in a draw or a win for either Juventus or Atalanta.
NAPOLI vs INTER
Second placed Napoli meet third place Inter with a ten point difference between them as the Italian serie A comes close to an end. The difference in points suggest that it won’t be a highly contested match, but Napoli are clearly the favorites in this match but Inter are clearly under pressure from Atalanta who are a point below them. Therefore they will be highly motivated to maintain their third place position. This is a match that could go anyways, thus a win for either teams or a draw as they inch closer to the end of the season.
Welcome to yet another SPORTPESA MEGAJACKPOT, POST-MATCH ANALYSIS – THE BREAKDOWN-7. We managed to get 9/17 correct predictions which were poor by our standards. There were close calls and red cards that threw some of the games off not to mention a mind boggling total of 6 draws with 3 of them coming in the last 4 matches: but as always, we like to take on any loss as a challenge to do better. With that in mind, below is the breakdown of the results as well as an in depth look of our research methodology in the hopes that with each loss we all gain a lesson that could potentially set us on our way back to the Sportpesa Megajackpot Bonus once again in the coming week.
Reading vs Millwall
Our 1st Pick: 1
Yakou Meite netted a brace for Reading as they eased the pressure on manager Paul Clement by beating fellow Championship strugglers Millwall. Meite headed Reading into the lead as he glanced in Tyler Blackett’s near-post cross but Murray Wallace levelled for Millwall within six minutes.
Clement’s side regained the lead on the stroke of half-time after Blackett was fouled by Mahlon Romeo in the penalty area. Sam Baldock converted from the spot, as Romeo was booked, and the Royals made the points safe when Meite headed in a Leandro Bacuna corner late on.
Reading’s first Championship victory in four games came courtesy of a gritty display and some notable saves from returning goalkeeper Anssi Jaakkola. The Finn was recalled between the sticks for the first time since March after injuries to Vito Mannone and Sam Walker.
Twice he denied Millwall an opener in the first 15 minutes with a one-on-one save from Lee Gregory before clawing a Jake Cooper header off his line. Before Meite broke the deadlock, Liam Kelly struck a post for Reading in the first half, while Tom Elliott headed an effort against the crossbar as Millwall searched for a leveller after the break. Jaakkola again proved solid when he blocked a close-range Shane Ferguson volley from Jed Wallace’s cross as Reading clinched an important victory.
We had gone for a home win based on head to head records as well as current form and it proved an accurate prediction.
Wigan vs West Brom
Our 1st Pick: 2
Josh Windass ended West Bromwich Albion’s seven-game unbeaten run to lift Wigan Athletic up to seventh in the Championship. Summer signing Windass got the only goal 16 minutes from time. Latching onto Nick Powell’s knockdown from Latics goalkeeper Christian Walton’s long clearance, he accelerated, then veered to his right past the last defender to drill low right-footed past Sam Johnstone.
Albion would have regained top spot with a point or better but failed to score in the league for only the second time this season.
Only a string of fine saves from Johnstone prevented Wigan winning by more and Albion ended with 10 men as Jake Livermore was sent off for a second yellow card late on. After a free-scoring few weeks, this defeat would have acted as a timely reminder to Albion that promotion back to the Premier League will not be straightforward.
Paul Cook’s Wigan proudly protected their own undefeated sequence – they have not lost in the league at the DW Stadium since February – and were unfortunate not to win by more. Despite hamstring injuries keeping out Latics attackers Will Grigg and Michael Jacobs, they created several chances and limited Albion – by far the Championship’s top scorers – to just one shot on target.
Albion’s front duo of Dwight Gayle (eight) and Jay Rodriguez (seven) had scored more than Wigan’s team (14) combined this season – but Windass levelled that statistic. The Latics dominated a feisty game that featured nine bookings, including Livermore’s pair of yellows, and Windass was denied three times by Johnstone before opening the scoring.
Johnstone also twice denied Gary Roberts, while Albion’s best chance of rescuing a point saw Ahmed Hegazi’s header hit the side netting late on.
We had gone for an away win based on their long unbeaten streak but it came to a crashing end over the weekend.
Nottingham vs Norwich
Our 1st Pick: 1
Timm Klose’s second-half double lifted Norwich City into the Championship play-off places at the expense of Nottingham Forest with a 2-1 win at the City Ground.
City, who inflicted Forest’s first home defeat since they lost to Brentford in April, had to come from behind to secure the points. Lewis Grabban crashed home a Joao Carvalho chipped pass to put Forest in front on five minutes. Despite the best efforts of Onel Hernandez, who hit a post, and Marco Stiepermann, who missed with the goal gaping, that was how it stayed until the second half.
On the hour, Klose headed in a Moritz Leitner free-kick to level and, with time ticking down, the Switzerland international then nudged a rebound from Jordan Rhodes’ shot past Costel Pantilimon for his third goal in as many games.
This was Forest’s first defeat in all competitions since their 2-1 away loss at Brentford on 1 September, and was the result of Aitor Karanka’s side failing to build on their early momentum as the Canaries forced their way back into the game.
They drop to eighth, two points behind Blackburn in sixth. In-form Forest forward Joe Lolley, who had three goals in his past four games, struck the crossbar soon after Grabban’s early goal, but the shift in possession and chances was noticeable after the break. City striker Rhodes imposed his presence on the game, keeping Pantilimon busy, and Klose’s timely brace ensured a return to winning ways and a first defeat against the Canaries for Reds boss Karanka.
We had based our pick on home ground advantage but Norwich made a stunning comeback to secure a memorable away victory.
Shrewsbury vs Sunderland
Our 1st Pick: 2
Sunderland scored twice in the second half to run out comfortable winners at Shrewsbury.
An own goal from Omar Beckles gave the visitors the lead before sub Luke O’Nien added a late second.
Shrewsbury created two early chances as Beckles nodded Alex Gilliead’s cross over the bar before a Luke Waterfall header from Shaun Whalley’s corner was saved by Sunderland goalkeeper Jon McLaughlin.
Visiting skipper Lee Cattermole volleyed Jerome Sinclair’s cross over the bar before Whalley’s curling free kick at the other end bounced up against the bar.
Sunderland made the breakthrough in the 58th minute as left-back Beckles turned a cross from Lynden Gooch into his own net.
Chris Maguire’s well-struck shot was kept out by home goalkeeper Joel Coleman shortly afterwards.
Beckles and sub Aaron Amadi-Holloway were both off target with headers as Shrewsbury chased an equaliser before O’Nien, having just been sent on by Black Cats manager Jack Ross, fired in a low shot to double Sunderland’s advantage six minutes from time.
We backed the black cats to carry the day and it proved an accurate prediction.
Cardiff vs Fulham
Our 1st Pick: 1
Fulham boss Slavisa Jokanovic said his side have “so many defensive problems to fix” after they slipped into the Premier League relegation zone with defeat at Cardiff. Andre Schurrle’s spectacular 30-yard strike put the visitors ahead against the run of play, but within 10 minutes they trailed against a resurgent Bluebirds side inspired by a fervent home crowd.
Josh Murphy equalised with a precise low finish, and then Bobby Reid seized on frenetic Fulham defending to slot in his first goal for the club – only for Ryan Sessegnon to make it 2-2 before the break. Fulham seemed to grow in confidence from that point, but Cardiff responded again, with Callum Paterson shooting on the turn to squeeze the ball into the bottom corner to make it 3-2.
Then, as the visitors went in search of a late equaliser, a slip from Tim Ream allowed Victor Camarasa to square the ball to Cardiff substitute Kadeem Harris, whose close-range finish prompted delirious celebrations among the home fans.
Cardiff’s first league win of the season lifted them off the bottom of the table and out of the relegation zone, while Fulham have now conceded 12 goals in their past three games.
Based on Fulham’s abysmal defensive record, we backed the home side to carry the day and they did run rampant against their London-based opponents.
Newcastle vs Brighton
Our 1st Pick: 1
Rafael Benitez said turning around Newcastle’s fortunes will be the toughest challenge of his career after slipping to the bottom of the Premier League following defeat by Brighton.
The Magpies remain winless after a fifth straight home loss thanks to Brighton’s Beram Kayal, who deflected in Jose Izquierdo’s strike in the 29th minute.
The Seagulls lost leading scorer Glenn Murray, who was taken off after a sickening aerial collision in the ninth minute. Brighton boss Chris Hughton later stated that the forward had been concussed but would leave hospital after having precautionary fans. But it did not put the visitors off their stride in a match where they spent most of the time defending.
Benitez said the Magpies needed to be “more precise and clinical” after producing 27 shots on goal, with only six on target. Midfielder Jonjo Shelvey went closest to scoring – first with a strike that was superbly blocked by Mat Ryan, then with a free-kick saved by the Australian with the help from his wall.
And despite saying he was confident he could turn things around, when asked if the current situation is the toughest he has faced, the Spaniard said: “Yes, at the moment, yes.” I have had a lot of situations, but at the moment, obviously it’s a difficult task.”
The result means Newcastle are the fourth team in top-flight history to lose their first five home games of a season – the other three teams were relegated.
We had backed the home side to get their 1st win of the season based on their 1st half performance against the red devils but they were once again poor and deserved no points.
Hull City vs Preston
Our 1st Pick: 1
Hull City missed a chance to move out of the Championship relegation zone as fellow strugglers Preston North End grabbed a late equaliser. The Tigers hit the woodwork three times through Kamil Grosicki, Chris Martin and Jarrod Bowen and saw Preston goalkeeper Chris Maxwell pull off a string of saves.
Bowen then put the Tigers ahead from the penalty spot five minutes from time after Lilywhites centre-back Jordan Storey had brought down Martin. But Preston hit back in the third minute of stoppage time when Louis Moult brought the ball down, turned and fired in to extend the visitors’ unbeaten run to three games.
Hull had failed to score in three of their past four games heading into the match and looked like they would draw another blank until Bowen broke the deadlock from 12 yards. After Alan Brown and Lukas Nmecha spurned early chances for North End, Poland international Grosicki’s fierce strike came back off the upright and Martin hit the bar with a header.
Maxwell denied Bowen from Grosicki’s cutback after the break and the influential Pole had two more attempts saved before Maxwell deflected another Bowen effort onto the post. The forward’s fourth goal of the campaign seemed set to give Nigel Adkins’ side a first win in six games but substitute Moult struck to share the spoils.
Alex Neil’s Preston move out of the bottom three on goal difference after Millwall lost at Reading, while Hull climb off the bottom having won more games than Ipswich Town, who return to the foot of the table.
Wycombe vs Scunthorpe
Our 1st Pick: 1
Craig Mackail-Smith completed a remarkable Wycombe comeback by scoring an injury-time winner as the ten-man Chairboys recovered from two goals down to beat Scunthorpe.
Mackail-Smith punished a mistake from defender Rory McArdle, racing clear before finishing expertly past Jak Alnwick. It looked like Wycombe would settle for a valiant point after Fred Onyedinma curled home from 20 yards on 53 minutes to make it 2-2 after good hold-up play by Adebayo Akinfenwa.
Scunthorpe had started the game in lightning fashion with two goals in the opening seven minutes as they threatened to run riot. Ryan Colclough scored after just 18 seconds, cutting in from the left and firing past a stranded Ryan Allsop.
Stephen Humphrys made it 2-0 in double-quick time, clinically slotting past the Wycombe keeper. However, Dominic Gape gave Wycombe hope with a brilliant finish on 26 minutes to reduce their arrears. Allsop was sent off with 10 minutes to go after being given a straight red for a foul on Ike Ugbo before Mackail-Smith’s deserved winner.
We had backed the home team based on h2h records and it proved accurate.
Crawley Town vs Newport
Our 1st Pick: 2
Crawley closed in on the League Two play-off places with an impressive win over promotion-hunting Newport County. Joe Maguire struck for the hosts inside a minute from a Lewis Young cross. Jamille Matt levelled, but Filipe Morais’ penalty restored Crawley’s lead after Ollie Palmer was brought down.
Palmer’s header and Ashley Nathaniel-George’s solo goal stretched Crawleys’ lead, before County’s Fraser Franks was shown a straight red card for a bad foul on Nathaniel-George.
Yeovil vs Tranmere
Our 1st Pick: X
Yeovil and Tranmere played out a goalless draw as neither side did enough to secure all three points in their League Two clash at Huish Park. Yeovil arguably had the better of the few opportunities in the game as a flicked header from Alex Fisher in the first half was tipped over by Scott Davies.
After the break, the Glovers went reasonably close again as a cross from Jake Gray turned into a shot and, with Davies stranded, Luke McCoulough expertly headed away from under his own bar.
Yoann Arquin perhaps should have done better with a Carl Dickinson free-kick that found him in the box but he could only put it wide, while Tom James had Davies worried with a free-kick of his own which the Tranmere goalkeeper tried to catch but could only push over the bar.
James Norwood did have a chance for the visitors deep into added time but despite having eight league goals already this season only rolled his tame effort into the hands of a thankful Nathan Baxter.
We had backed these two to settle for a point each based on current form and it proved an accurate prediction.
Ipswich vs QPR
Our 1st Pick: X
Queens Park Rangers eased to victory at Championship strugglers Ipswich Town to increase the pressure on Tractor Boys manager Paul Hurst. The visitors went ahead when Town keeper Dean Gerken fumbled Luke Freeman’s corner into his own net.
Rangers doubled their lead on the stroke of half-time through Tomer Hemed’s penalty after Eberechi Eze was felled in the box by Toto Nsiala. Gerken denied Eze and Hemed after the break, while England Under-20 forward Eze also clipped the bar with a shot from the edge of the box as Rangers dominated.
Ipswich have won just once in the league this season under Hurst and are yet to register a home victory since the former Shrewsbury boss took charge at Portman Road this summer. The Suffolk side rarely threatened Joe Lumley in the QPR goal, with a Grant Ward header their only effort on target.
It proved to be a comfortable afternoon for the west Londoners once they took the lead from Freeman’s set-piece, as Steve McClaren’s side made it three games without defeat. Ipswich remain one point from safety despite the loss but drop to the bottom of the table, slipping behind Hull City on games won.
Plymouth vs Burton
Our 1st Pick: X
Burton defender Kyle McFadzean scored twice as Nigel Clough’s side claimed their first League One away win of the season at basement side Plymouth. Unmarked McFadzean headed home Stephen Quinn’s 84th-minute free-kick at the near post to put the Brewers ahead for the first time in an enthralling game. Argyle striker Freddie Ladapo scored twice in the first half, opening the scoring with a superb shot from just inside the box that beat the diving Dimitar Evtimov after nine minutes.
McFadzean levelled in the 19th minute, heading home from a corner after Ben Turner nodded back across goal from the far post. Ladapo pounced on a Quinn backpass to round Evtimov and score his second after 35 minutes.
But just moments later Albion again restored parity from a corner, Lucas Akins heading home Jamie Allen’s 39th-minute delivery. Ladapo – who should have had a hat-trick – played his part in defence, clearing McFadzean’s goal-bound header off the line following another corner but the defender would not be denied six minutes from time.
Derby vs Sheffield Utd
Our 1st Pick: 1
A goal after 19 seconds helped Derby County deny Sheffield United the chance to go top of the Championship, as the Blades’ four-match winning run ended with defeat at Pride Park.
Rams striker Jack Marriott’s clever, flicked finish won the game for Frank Lampard’s hosts with 13 minutes to play. Derby had led inside the first minute when Craig Bryson completed a good team move, but Chris Basham tucked United level before half-time.
The hosts pressed for a winner, before Marriott’s second goal in two starts sent them up to fifth. The win was Derby’s first since their Carabao Cup victory on penalties at Manchester United in September and their sixth of the league season, moving them four points behind the second-placed Blades.
The visitors would have gone top with a draw, after defeats for promotion-chasing Leeds United and West Bromwich Albion earlier on Saturday. Chris Wilder’s men played some well-worked football in the first half, culminating with Basham’s equaliser, after John Fleck had beaten four Derby players before squaring the ball to the centre-half at the far post.
But Martyn Waghorn should have headed Derby back in front moments later and then they had the better of the second half, before Marriott darted in at the near post and diverted home to end United’s five-match unbeaten streak.
Strasbourg vs Monaco
Our 1st Pick: 1
Thierry Henry’s first game as a manager ended in defeat as his Monaco side were beaten 2-1 at Strasbourg in Ligue 1. Frenchman Henry, 41, saw his side go behind when goalkeeper Seydou Sy fumbled an Adrien Thomasson header.
It got worse for the visitors when Samuel Grandsir saw red for a high foot, before Strasbourg substitute Lebo Mothiba made it two for the home side. Youri Tielemans’ late penalty was only a consolation, with Monaco above bottom club Guingamp on goal difference.
Their six-point tally from 10 games this season is also the club’s worst start since the 1953-54 season. The result sees Strasbourg rise to sixth in the table, with the principality side left to focus on Wednesday’s Champions League group match at Club Brugge. Former France and Arsenal star Henry, who began his playing career at Monaco and helped them win Ligue 1 in 1997, was assistant manager of Belgium before joining the eight-time French champions.
We had backed Monaco to continue on their downward spiral despite their new coach and it proved to be accurate.
Rayo Vallecano vs Getafe
Our 1st Pick: 2
What started out as a rather timid 1st half ended up as a thrilling clash in the 2nd between these two Spanish sides in the La Liga. This one had it all as it had both a sending off as well as an own goal that ended up as the match winner.
The game came to life in and around the 63rd minute when the visitors broke the deadlock courtesy of a Dimitri Foulquier goal that sent the away fans into ecstasy. Their joy was doubled when Sergio Akieme found the back of the net albeit on the wrong end to put the visitors two goals up with 20 minutes to go.
The hosts did pull one back via Raul De Tomas but it was a case of a little too late and their evening got even worse as Oscar Trejo was given his matching orders during extra time. The visitors then held on to a vital win in their quest for survival in the Spanish La Liga.
Inter vs AC Milan
Our 1st Pick: X
Inter Milan Captain, Mauro Icardi, scored a dramatic injury-time winner as they beat city rivals AC Milan at the San Siro in Serie A.
The 222nd Milan derby was petering out before the Argentine striker headed in Matias Vecino’s cross. Inter – who lost Radja Nainggolan to a first-half injury – were deserved winners, but it was a lacklustre game.
The closest either side came before the winner was Inter’s Stefan de Vrij hitting the post from close range. Icardi – who only touched the ball 15 times in the entire game – and AC Milan’s Mateo Musacchio both had goals correctly disallowed for offside. Inter move up to third with the victory – with AC Milan remaining 12th.
hat’s it for another pulsating week of our sportpesa megajackpot post-match breakdown. There were some surprising results but with each failure one can only hope to learn. Here’s a tip for all our sports betting enthusiasts, sometimes stats may favor a particular team but dig deeper and trust by your gut. Sometime your winning slip could be hinged on you backing the underdog and going against the norm. As they say, fortune favors the bold. Be on the lookout for our Sportpesa Megajackpot Predictions this week.
At Multibets Kenya, we have something for everyone and always remember to bet responsibly.
Welcome to yet another SPORTPESA MEGAJACKPOT, POST-MATCH ANALYSIS – THE BREAKDOWN-6. We managed to get 6/17 correct predictions which were poor by our standards. There were close calls and red cards that threw some of the games off not to mention a mind boggling total of 6 draws with 3 of them coming in the last 4 matches: but as always, we like to take on any loss as a challenge to do better. With that in mind, below is the breakdown of the results as well as an in depth look of our research methodology in the hopes that with each loss we all gain a lesson that could potentially set us on our way back to the Sportpesa Megajackpot Bonus once again in the coming week.
Preston vs Wigan
Our 1st Pick: 1
Callum Robinson scored twice as Preston impressively beat Wigan at Deepdale to move off the bottom of the Championship and end a 10-game winless run.
Tom Barkhuizen fired home the opener after neat build-up play in the first half. He then turned provider just after the break, creating space for Daniel Johnson to play in Robinson who slotted home.
Wigan’s task became huge moments later when former Manchester United midfielder Darron Gibson was sent off for a bad tackle on Ben Pearson.
Victory was sealed with a few minutes left; Paul Gallagher scoring a penalty after Lukas Nmecha was fouled in the box, before Robinson turned in Sean Maguire’s pull-back to make it 4-0 deep into injury time.
Victory was not quite enough to lift North End out of the relegation zone, with Reading just above them on goal difference. Wigan drop to 10th following their fifth defeat in 12 league games this season.
We had gone for a home win based on current form and it proved an accurate prediction as the hosts ran riot.
QPR vs Derby
Our 1st Pick: X
Geoff Cameron’s first goal for QPR earned the hosts a point and stopped Derby County moving into the Championship play-off places.
Cameron scored from 10 yards from a Nahki Wells cross after Rams keeper Scott Carson had saved Luke Freeman’s free-kick.The Rams led slightly against the run of play at the interval, Jack Marriott marking his first Championship start by drilling home after a defensive mix-up following Bradley Johnson’s long ball.
But Rangers responded impressively, Wells hitting the bar before Cameron’s leveller, just QPR’s ninth goal in 12 league matches this season, rescued a draw.Rangers were unfortunate to trail at the interval, having created the better chances.
Massimo Luongo and Jake Bidwell were both off target with decent opportunities before Marriott’s opener for the visitors.
A powerful Tom Lawrence free-kick then tested Rs keeper Joe Lumley, but the hosts continued to look the sharper.
The lively Wells had a header easily saved and then smashed a fine shot against the bar from the left side of the penalty area. After Cameron’s neat leveller early in the second half, both sides could have earned the win late on. But Toni Leistner, the matchwinner for QPR against Reading in midweek, blasted a shot over, while Rams substitute Harry Wilson forced Lumley into a smart save.
Derby, who have now lost just two of their past 15 away games at Loftus Road, are seventh while QPR slip to 18th in the table, five points above the relegation zone.
Peterborough vs Barnsley
Our 1st Pick: 2
Barnsley closed in on the automatic promotion places in League One with a 4-0 win at second-placed Peterborough. The Tykes had goalkeeper Adam Davies to thank for keeping out an early Ivan Toney penalty, with former Posh midfielder George Moncur scoring a minute later for the visitors before Brad Potts (twice) and Jacob Brown struck to move Barnsley within two points of their opponents.
Things might have been different when Posh were awarded a penalty in the 13th minute for contact on Joe Ward by Dimitri Cavare.
Toney’s spot kick was well saved low down to his left by Davies, and Posh were punished a minute later when they failed to clear and the ball came to Moncur to score from close range.
Potts then rifled in a 25-yard free-kick touched in his direction in first-half stoppage time, with the attacking midfielder finding the bottom corner from 20 yards after 59 minutes. Substitute Brown scored in the same corner in the 92nd minute to round off the win.
Wycombe vs Burton
Our 1st Pick: X
Adebayo Akinfenwa’s 200th goal in English football and a penalty from Joe Jacobson secured Wycombe a 2-1 win against Burton.
Two goals in seven minutes set the Chairboys on their way to victory, although Marvin Sordell’s goal shortly after half-time threatened a Burton comeback.
However, Wycombe held on for their first home League One victory of the season. After a quiet opening period, Craig Mackail-Smith was clumsily barged over in the box by Kyle McFadzean after 30 minutes and Jacobson stepped up to open the scoring on his 200th game for the Chairboys.
Randell Williams then escaped his man and his cross from the left was met by Akinfenwa, whose powerful header extended his side’s lead. However, early in the second half, Liam Boyce’s inch-perfect ball left Sordell one-on-one with Ryan Allsop and he rounded the goalkeeper with ease to reduce the deficit. Burton had further opportunities with Sordell spooning over from close range but Wycombe saw out the rest of the game.
Plymouth vs AFC Wimbledon
Our 1st Pick: 2
Plymouth’s 12-match wait for a League One win ended as they beat Wimbledon 1-0 at Home Park thanks to Freddie Ladapo’s 75th minute winner.
The Argyle target man headed home after Graham Carey latched on to Ruben Lameiras’ short corner to send over an inch-perfect cross from the right.
The win lifted Argyle off the foot of the table ahead of their trip to basement side Oxford next Saturday. Argyle had threatened five minutes earlier when central defender Ryan Edwards headed just over from Carey’s corner from the left. Carey nearly made it 2-0 with a thumping shot minutes after the goal but keeper Joe McDonnell saved well down low at his post.
Argyle’s on-loan Arsenal keeper Matt Macey made a save on the line to deny Jake Jervis from point blank range after 62 minutes. Former Argyle forward Jervis seemed certain to score when he side-footed skipper Deji Oshilaja’s cross towards goal at the far post but 6ft 7in Macey got down to turn the ball away to safety.
Joe Pigott sent a shot just wide of goal after good work from Jervis as the second half started with Wimbledon on the front foot but the visitors could not find a way back into the game.
Millwall vs Aston Villa
Our 1st Pick: 1
Caretaker manager Kevin MacDonald warned Aston Villa’s players they need to “tidy up” their performances after seeing them beaten by Millwall despite taking an early lead.
Tammy Abraham gave MacDonald the perfect start to his third spell as Villa’s temporary boss, cleverly steering home Conor Hourihane’s free-kick on the volley after just seven minutes. But the first match since Bruce was sacked then turned sour with Shane Ferguson and Tom Elliott earning victory for the Lions.
Millwall – winless in eight before Saturday – responded well to Abraham’s opener and deservedly levelled when Ferguson fired home Jake Cooper’s knockdown. Elliott’s second-half strike completed the turnaround to lift the Londoners out of the relegation zone and leave Villa with just one win in their past 10 Championship games.
With James Chester’s suspension and Mile Jedinak’s hamstring injury leaving makeshift pair Alan Hutton and Axel Tuanzebe at the centre of Villa’s defence, MacDonald opted for pragmatism further forward to protect his back four.
That meant Villa’s bench featured an array of attacking talent – worth more than £50m based on their most recent transfer fees. But the defensive approach failed to pay dividends as, despite Abraham’s early opener, Villa again failed to add to their solitary league clean sheet this season.
After Ferguson’s leveller, Villa were relieved to get to half-time at 1-1 as Millwall’s Shaun Williams had a goal-bound shot blocked by Manchester United loanee Tuanzebe and whistled another strike just over from 30 yards.
More poor defending just three minutes into the second half allowed Elliott to drill the hosts in front after Villa failed to clear Ferguson’s cross. And despite a brief Villa rally – in which James Bree nodded inches wide – Neil Harris’ Lions could have won by more as a Williams header crashed back off the bar.
The victory was only Millwall’s second Championship win of the season and lifted them to 20th, leaving whoever succeeds Bruce at Villa Park with much to ponder.
Crystal Palace vs Wolverhampton
Our 1st Pick: 2
Crystal Palace manager Roy Hodgson described his side’s performance as a “major disappointment” after Matt Doherty’s winner extended Wolves’ unbeaten Premier League run to six matches.
Raul Jimenez put Doherty through on 56 minutes and, despite the tight angle, the full-back was able to beat Wayne Hennessey at his near post.
Although the home side began confidently in the first ever Premier League meeting between the clubs, Hodgson’s team were wasteful in the final third. Nuno Espirito Santo set a Premier League record by naming an unchanged starting XI for an eighth consecutive opening fixture, and Wolves arrived at Selhurst Park as the in-form side.
The visitors had to be patient to force a decisive breakthrough against Southampton last time out, and it was a similar story in south London, where the hosts began largely in control. But Nuno’s men have remained committed to their expansive style of play – and once again that paid off as the adventurous Doherty unlocked the Palace defence with a great finish.
It’s no coincidence that eight of Wolves’ nine league goals have come in the second half, and they demonstrated their ability to gradually wear down their opponents’ resistance.
While their attacking players will continue to receive plaudits, the Wolves defence – and Patricio in particular on this occasion – were excellent, allowing their side to keep a fourth clean sheet in five league matches. And although Cavaleiro probably should have doubled the advantage late on, victory means Wolves are now seventh on 15 points.
Grimsby Town vs Port Vale
Our 1st Pick: 2
Goals from Wes Thomas and JJ Hooper saw Grimsby pick up their first home league win of the season as they beat Port Vale. Just over 30 seconds into the game, Grimsby found themselves ahead as Mitchell Clark sold Scott Brown short with a back-pass, with Thomas latching onto it before rounding the goalkeeper and rolling the ball into the empty net.
Chances were few and far between for both sides for the rest of the first half, although Tom Pope went close for Vale as he flashed a volley just over the crossbar.
Grimsby should have doubled their lead just after the break when the ball broke to Hooper in a great position inside the penalty area, but the forward could only strike the ball against the post.
He made no mistake moments later though as Thomas and Charles Vernam linked up well on the edge of the box, with the latter playing the ball across the face of goal for Hooper to tap home and earn his side their second victory of the week.
Bury vs Mansfield
Our 1st Pick: X
Nicky Maynard’s stoppage-time goal earned Bury a point against Mansfield Town.Maynard slid home his second of the game from 15 yards five minutes into seven of added time at the end. Mansfield scored a bizarre opening goal after 10 minutes. Danny Rose profited as the ball slipped out of Joe Murphy’s grasp when the Bury keeper prepared to make a regulation clearance, and the ex-Bury striker tapped the loose ball into an unguarded net from five yards.
Murphy atoned for his clanger minutes later when he saved superbly from Otis Khan, while Rose should have made it two after half an hour but fired wide from 15 yards. After the restart, Khan went on a terrific run before curling an exquisite shot inches wide.
Bury then evened the score spectacularly in the 55th minute. Nicky Adams headed the ball hopefully towards Nicky Maynard eight yards from goal, and the Bury striker swivelled superbly before lashing home with a breathtaking scissor kick.
The Stags regained the lead after 73 minutes when defender Matt Preston powerfully headed home Timi Elsnik’s corner, but Maynard had the final say.
Macclesfield vs Notts County
Our 1st Pick: 1
A late Jon Stead penalty earned Notts County victory over Macclesfield. The hosts are still without a win this season, and had been good value for a point before centre-back Fiacre Kelleher gifted possession to Enzio Boldewijn, who bore down on goal, where keeper Kieran O’Hara committed a foul that virtually handed the visitors victory.
The spot-kick still had to be put away but in Stead, the Magpies had just the man for the job, and he sent O’Hara the wrong way eight minutes from time to give Notts their third straight win.
Macc had shaded a first half with precious few openings for either side. The stalemate continued after the break, with the home side producing decent build-up play without a final ball, and Notts County content to sit deep.
And with nine minutes left on the clock, Kelleher’s moment of madness led to the goal, after which substitute Nathan Thomas almost added a second for the visitors.
Swindon Town vs Northampton
Our 1st Pick: 1
Matt Taylor’s free-kick rescued a point for Swindon as they came from behind against Northampton at the County Ground. The home side should have broken the deadlock after just seven minutes when James Dunne had his close-range shot saved by David Cornell.
Swindon came close to taking the lead again as clever link-up play eventually saw Cornell deny Marc Richards with another save. Northampton had to wait until the 22nd minute before their first real opportunity fell to Sam Hoskins, who broke free before seeing his shot parried against the post.
The visitors came alive after the break and almost went ahead through Andy Williams, only for Swindon’s Taylor to deny him a chance from six yards out.
However, they didn’t have to wait long for their goal which came in the 58th minute when John-Joe O’Toole volleyed in from a Hoskins cross but Swindon responded in emphatic fashion, Taylor curling his free-kick into the top corner from 25 yards out.
Stevenage vs Colchester
Our 1st Pick: 1
Kurtis Guthrie scored against his old club as Stevenage recovered to beat Colchester in a feisty encounter at Broadhall Way.
Colchester went ahead after 86 seconds when Sammie Szmodics tapped in from three yards at the far post, from Ryan Jackson’s low cross.
Szmodics and Luke Norris had opportunities soon after, as Colchester pressed for a second.
But Guthrie went close with a deflected long-range effort before the former Colchester striker equalised four minutes before half-time when he tapped home at the far post, after Scott Cuthbert had headed on Joel Byrom’s corner.
Stevenage nearly scored again early in the second half when half-time substitute Emmanuel Sonupe’s acrobatic effort was saved well by Dillon Barnes.
Stevenage goalkeeper Seny Dieng denied Norris before Ben Kennedy slotted the hosts ahead from the spot with eight minutes remaining, after Steve Seddon had been fouled by substitute Brennan Dickenson in the area.
And two minutes later, Sonupe wrapped up Stevenage’s win when he calmly lifted a shot past Barnes, from Guthrie’s pass.
Morecambe vs Tranmere
Our 1st Pick: 2
A Harvey Gilmour double inspired Tranmere to victory against Morecambe in a superb and fiery encounter at the Globe Arena.
On-loan Sheffield United man Gilmour was Rovers’ hero as his sensational second in the 89th minute won it for the visitors. Morecambe took the lead with a superb individual goal from Rhys Oates after 13 minutes. The Morecambe forward made it three goals from three games with a superb, low 25-yard shot that flew past Scott Davies and into the bottom corner.
The visitors hit back just before the half-hour mark with a well-worked free-kick. Gilmour floated the ball into the Morecambe area and Ollie Banks used his height and strength to head past Barry Roche from six yards out.
The Shrimps were denied a penalty for handball before Micky Mellon’s side took the lead four minutes before the break. Zoumana Bakayogo was found on the overlap down the left and produced the perfect cross for Gilmour to beat Roche with a diving header from eight yards out.
Rovers added a third on 54 minutes when Jonny Smith struck a sweet left-foot curler past Roche from the edge of the Morecambe box.
The game continued to flow from end to end, with Davies saving smartly from Liam Mandeville before the Shrimps added a second when Vadaine Oliver headed home Zak Mills’ cross from close range after 73 minutes. The home side then levelled seven minutes later when Andrew Tutte’s cross into the area was flicked by AJ Leitch-Smith past Davies from 12 yards out.
The action didn’t stop there, however, as Gilmour curled home Bakayogo’s lay-off to earn the win. The game ended with a fracas involving both sets of players, with Tranmere goalkeeping coach Eric Nixon being shown a red card.
Yeovil vs Exeter
Our 1st Pick: 1
Jayden Stockley took his season’s goal tally to eight with a brace as Exeter claimed a draw at Yeovil. Exeter asserted their authority after just nine minutes when Stockley headed in the opener. Hiram Boateng hung up the cross and goalkeeper Nathan Baxter failed to come out allowing the striker to nod in.
Yeovil were level after 48 minutes and it came from another defensive mistake, this time when Luke Croll’s header back to Christy Pym was weak and Olufela Olomola pounced on it before rounding the goalkeeper and laying it to Jordan Green to tap in.
In the 61st minute it was 2-1 to the Glovers with Olomola the provider again, beating Croll for pace from a long ball forward before crossing in for Alex Fisher to score. Stockley then scored his second of the day after 75 minutes when he found space in the box to head in a Dean Moxey cross and level.
Guingamp vs Montpellier
Our 1st Pick: 2
Prior to this highly anticipated French Ligue 1 match, both teams had met 30 times and drew 12 times while Guingamp wins 6 times and Montpellier winning 12 times. The stats were in favor of the away side but we backed the home side to win as they needed the win badly in order to escape being early candidates for the drop.
They were fighting for their first season win of the Coupa de la Ligue match in their home match as they tried to push on proceeding to the next level. The visitors broke the deadlock in and around the 30th minute via an Andy Delort goal and went into the break in the lead. By this point the hosts were already down to 10 men as Marcus Thuram was given the matching orders as early as the 7th minute.
The situation swung back in favor of the hosts though as Florent Mollet was sent off thus making it a 10v10 match just before halftime.
This spurred the hosts and they duly got their reward via a Nicolas Benezet equalizer just at the stroke of the hour mark. Both teams had chances to pull ahead but given the general play, a draw seemed a fair result.
Liverpool vs Manchester City
Our 1st Pick: 1
We had backed the home side to carry the day based on historical records between this two sides but the rather dull affair proved to be an anticlimax.
Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp and Manchester City counterpart Pep Guardiola were both left satisfied after a goalless draw left their sides level on points at the top of the Premier League.
Champions City have not won a league game at Anfield in 15 years, and Riyad Mahrez wasted a glorious opportunity to send them clear when he missed a late penalty. City’s summer signing from Leicester fired an 85th-minute spot-kick high over the bar after substitute Leroy Sane was brought down by Liverpool defender Virgil van Dijk.
It handed the Reds a reprieve as both sides extended their unbeaten league starts to eight games, with City now top on goal difference from Chelsea and Liverpool. All three are level on 20 points. City felt they were denied two earlier penalties when Dejan Lovren bundled over Sergio Aguero and Van Dijk handled in an aerial challenge – referee Martin Atkinson waving away the first appeal and awarding a foul for a push by Fernandinho in the second incident.
Mahrez also squandered City’s other big chance in a game that failed to live up to expectations, dragging an effort wide, while keeper Ederson was virtually unemployed against Liverpool’s normally potent attack.
This Anfield confrontation was billed as a potential thrill ride between two sides who – along with Chelsea – have set the pace in the Premier League. It was not to be – this was a cagey and, at times, dull and tame affair.
Liverpool’s attacking trident of Roberto Firmino, Mohamed Salah and Sadio Mane were unable to cause the damage they inflicted on City in last season’s Champions League quarter-final, while Guardiola’s intention was clearly to draw the early fire from Klopp’s side.
City had no intention of being drawn into the sort of Anfield battles that saw them over-run last season and led to suggestions that Klopp’s intense, pressing style was one that Guardiola could not master.
Liverpool ran out of steam and ideas after the first 10 minutes, while City were content to slow matters down to throw cold water over the Anfield atmosphere – and in that respect it was highly effective as the home side, so irresistible in attack last season, barely troubled Ederson.
Klopp’s side have now gone four games without a win after a flawless start to the season and the influence James Milner has on Liverpool was illustrated by their lack of direction after he went off injured in the first half. City was the better side, but neither was able to produce the decisive moment and spoils were thus shared by the end of regulation time. press association
IK Start vs Sarpsborg
Our 1st Pick: 2
IK Start came into this one having played 24 matches and at position 15 with 23 points in the 2018 Norway Eliteserein. Their opponents on the other hand having played 24 matches were at position 9 with 32 points. In their last 5 h2h Sarpsborg had won 4 times Start 1 with 1 draw for both sides. This explains why we backed the away team to carry the day.
However, a last minute goal by Mathias Bringaker was enough to ensure a memorable victory for the hosts and in the process secured them 3 vital points. The home crowd was in fine volume as they spurred their team on to victory. It was a rather lacklustre match with chances coming far and in between.
That’s it for another pulsating week of our sportpesa megajackpot post-match breakdown. There were some surprising results but with eachn only hope to learn failure one ca. Here’s a tip for all our sports betting enthusiasts, sometimes stats may favor a particular team but dig deeper and trust by your gut. Sometime your winning slip could be hinged on you backing the underdog and going against the norm. As they say, fortune favors the bold. Be on the lookout for our Sportpesa Megajackpot Predictions this week.
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Welcome to yet another SPORTPESA MEGAJACKPOT, POST-MATCH ANALYSIS – THE BREAKDOWN-5. We managed to get 7/17 correct predictions which were poor by our standards. There were close calls and stunning comebacks that threw some of the games off not to mention simply shocking results but in the end; we like to take on any loss as a challenge to do better. We may have had our poorest performance ever in the last week but this has only spurred us to dig even deeper to ensure that we bounce back in a huge way in this week’s sportpesa megajackpot. With that in mind, below is the breakdown of the results as well as an in-depth look at our research methodology in the hopes that with each loss we all gain a lesson that could potentially set us on our way back to the Sportpesa Megajackpot Bonus once again in the coming week.