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SPORTPESA MEGAJACKPOT ANALYSIS – THE BREAKDOWN.
Watford v Crystal Palace
Our 1st Pick: 2
Our 2nd Pick: X
Result: 0-0
Ivorian star player, Zaha was cautioned by referee Chris Kavanagh after going down inside the Watford penalty area following a challenge by Adrian Mariappa in what was deemed a blatant dive. It was his fourth booking for simulation in the Premier League since the start of the 2015-16 season.
His manager felt hard done by the decision when he spoke, “I think he would have got the penalty in another game,” said Hodgson.
In what was a topsy-turvy match that had all time high of eight yellow cards, the visitors edged six points clear of the relegation zone after frustrating Watford to a barren draw.
The visitors could have walked away with maximum points but lady luck wasn’t on their side as they were twice denied by the woodwork after half-time, captain Luka Milivojevic hitting the bar from a free-kick before James Tomkins headed against a post.
The result meant that the Eagles climbed one place to 15th in the table while Watford remain 12th, nine points clear of relegation with three games to go, although they have played more games than most teams below them.
We had gone for an away win as our 1st pick based on the fact that the eagles are in a relegation scrap. This would explain our second pick of a draw as we felt the visitors would scrap for a point and this proved to be the case.
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Bristol City v Hull City
Our 1st Pick: 1
Our 2nd Pick: X
Result: 5-5
This is without a doubt our undisputed pick for match of the weekend. It was simply a sensational game of football on Saturday afternoon as Bristol City incredibly drew 5-5 with Hull.
Bobby Reid, Marlon Pack, Joe Bryan and Famara Diedhiou – who scored twice – all hit the back of the net in a truly nail-biting encounter
The game sparked to life when the Tigers hit back through Fraizer Campbell, Harry Wilson (twice), Fikayo Tomori and Abel Hernandez as seven goals were smashed in during an absorbing end-to-end second half that can’t be really captured in words.
Strikes by Wilson, Abel Hernandez and Fraizer Campbell in the ludicrous 15 minutes saw Hull lead, only for Bryan to level.
However, despite the climax of the late drama during 10 minutes of added time at Ashton Gate, the Robins are now 10th in the table, three points adrift of Millwall in sixth with just two games remaining before the curtains close.
Hull are now certain of Championship survival, having lost just three times in 12 games.
We had gone for a home win as our 1st pick based on head to records but had a draw as our second pick as we felt both teams were at par at it proved be a pulsating draw to say the least.
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Leeds Utd v Barnsley
Our 1st Pick: X
Our 2nd Pick: 2
Result: 2-1
The visitor’s slim hopes of avoiding relegation took a major blow with a narrow defeat by former head coach Paul Heckingbottom’s Leeds United at Elland Road.
Tom Pearce put the hosts ahead with his first senior goal, firing ferociously into the bottom right corner from 25 yards out. However, Barnsley rallied and pulled level before the break, via a Paudie O’Connor deflection into his own net.
The hosts refused to settle and Ezgjan Alioski’s tapped in to restore their lead, and Barnsley could not turn their late pressure into a second goal.
Notably though, Oli McBurnie had a goal disallowed for offside and Kieffer Moore somehow directed Adam Hammill’s cross wide of an open goal when it was easier to score as opposed to missing.
Young Leeds keeper Bailey Peacock-Farrell gave another assured performance in goal, and Pearce and O’Connor, both 20, also impressed once again in defence, giving their boss some positives to take into next season after what can only be termed as a difficult start to life at Elland Road.
The result meant that Barnsley slipped ever closer to a return to League One after falling to a sixth defeat in 12 games under Heckingbottom’s replacement, Jose Morais.
We had a draw as our 1st pick based on the fact that the visitors were in dire need of points with an away win as our 2nd pick but both proved inaccurate.
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Birmingham v Sheffield Utd
Our 1st Pick: 1
Our 2nd Pick: 12
Result: 2-1
Birmingham City took a huge step towards Championship survival as victory over Sheffield United lifted them five points clear of the relegation zone.
Mark Duffy had put the Blades ahead by beating home keeper David Stockdale at his near post.
However, Marc Roberts pulled the Blues level before the interval, hammering in Jacques Maghoma’s corner from close range. Maghoma then switched from provider to scorer when he slid home the winner from just 15 yards to leave Sheffield United three points off a play-off place.
Although the Blades poured forward after Maghoma had slotted home from Che Adams’ pass, Birmingham held on for the win with relative ease.
We had gone for a home win as our 1st pick based on head to head records and this proved true.
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Gillingham v Blackpool
Our 1st Pick: X
Our 2nd Pick: 2
Result: 0-3
Highly rated youngster Kyle Vassell, set Blackpool on their way to a fourth consecutive League One win in a dominant display against League one strugglers, Gillingham.
The youngster was in fine form and had hit the bar earlier on. His industrious display was duly rewarded when he fired home the opener after debutant goalkeeper Tom Hadler spilled Jimmy Ryan’s 25-yard shot.
The budding youngster then turned provider when his drilled cross was met by the onrushing Nathan Delfouneso, who guided the ball past the hapless Hadler.
Midfielder Jay Spearing missed the chance to add to the Seasiders’ lead three minutes after the break, as he hit the post from the penalty spot after Tom Eaves was deemed to have fouled Curtis Tilt in the penalty area.
Kelvin Mellor came of the bench and tapped in Armand Gnanduillet’s cross to seal the win for Gary Bowyer’s side seven minutes from time.
The hosts did come close when Josh Parker fired over the bar from 25 yards shortly after the break for Gillingham but they were simply outplayed. They now have the unenviable record of having over six-and-a-half hours without scoring at home.
We had gone for a draw as our 1st pick as we felt the home side would finally break their home form hoodoo. We however gave the visitors and outside chance with an away win as our second pick and this proved to be the correct prediction.
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Derby County v Middlesbrough
Our 1st Pick: X
Our 2nd Pick: 1
Result: 1-2
This was a scintillating encounter and the Rams started brightly but somehow trailed at the break to Muhamed Besic’s goal.
Britt Assombalonga slotted in a second for the visitors after some lovely build up play by the enterprising Adama Traore.
David Nugent’s late penalty gave the hosts the feintest of hopes of an equaliser, but Derby just couldn’t avoid a third successive defeat.
Derby maintained a threat, mainly through the excellent Lawrence, the Wales winger sending one effort just wide and teeing up a chance for Nugent who was off target with a strike when he had better options in the box.
As it stands, Middlesbrough now just need four points from their remaining two games to be completely sure of a Championship play-off place after a professional win over fellow top-six chasers Derby County.
We had gone for a draw as our 1st pick based on the current form of both teams with a home win as our 2nd pick but both proved inaccurate.
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Sheffield Wednesday v Reading
Our 1st Pick: X
Our 2nd Pick: 1
Result: 3-0
Reading came into this one in lacklustre form and it really showed as they were thoroughly hammered by the hosts.
The visitors did have a few chances with the most guilt-edged one coming as the 1st half came to a close. The hosts duly responded and Jon Dadi Bodvarsson saw a shot cleared off the line before Fernando Forestieri’s strike from the edge of the box was deflected in.
The hosts made it 2-0 when Adam Reach squared for George Boyd to easily tap in sending the visiting fans into ecstasy.
Bodvarsson, Modou Barrow and Sone Aluko all missed for Reading and Forestieri hammered in a third, before the Royals’ Tyler Blackett was sent off late on.
The result meant that Reading remain five points clear of the Championship drop-zone despite the heavy defeat.
We had gone for a draw as our 1st pick as both teams didn’t really have much to play for in terms of places on the league table. We had however gone for a home win as our 2nd pick simply based on home ground advantage and it proved to be accurate.
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Ross County v Motherwell
Our 1st Pick: 2
Our 2nd Pick: X
Result: 0-0
The hosts slipped below Partick Thistle to the bottom of the Scottish Premiership after their barren draw with Scottish Cup finalists Motherwell.
The visitors did have a few chances with Allan Campbell testing Ross County goalkeeper Scott Fox in the first half.
County struggled to create openings throughout and now trail Hamilton Academical’s victors Thistle by just a solitary point with four games to go.
There was no doubt about the commitment and effort of the players in the first half but there were precious few clear-cut chances in what turned out to be a really bruising encounter.
It’s just two wins in Ross County’s past 21 league matches and it’s a winning ratio they must improve immediately as they face a make or break double-header away to Hamilton and Patrick Thistle.
Based on the host’s poor form, we had gone for an away win as our 1st pick. However, as the hosts are in a relegation scrap, we had a draw as our 2nd pick and it proved to be the winning one.
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Celta Vigo v Valencia
Our 1st Pick: X
Our 2nd Pick: 12
Result:
With on-from Spanish player, Iago Aspas sidelined since the start of April due to injury, Brais Mendez was called in as a replacement for this spicy clash.
On the other hand, Gabriel Paulista and Geoffrey Kondogbia made their return from bans for the high-flying visitors and they proved vital cogs in what was a hard-fought draw.
Celta Vigo had lost just one of their last five La Liga games, but without Iago Aspas they were without their key man and they struggled to create as much.
The hosts are now commendably unbeaten in their last eight matches at Balaidos, with Barcelona recently held to a 2-2 draw against La Celeste.
Santi mina had broken the deadlock for the visitors in the 59’ only for the hosts to pull level four minutes later via a Maximiliano Gomez goal.
We had gone for a draw as our 1st pick based on Celta Vigo’s exemplary home record and this proved to be accurate.
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Manchester Utd v Tottenham
Our 1st Pick: 1
Our 2nd Pick: X
Result: 2-1
Ander Herrera’s winner sent Manchester United into a record-equaling 20th FA Cup final and condemned Tottenham to their eighth successive defeat at this stage of the competition.
Spurs started off at a ferocious pace and fully deserved the early lead they took after just 11 minutes when Dele Alli slid home a finish from Christian Eriksen’s sumptuous cross following Davinson Sanchez’s long pass that literally opened up Manchester United’s defence.
Jose Mourinho’s side survived the siege and deservedly levelled on 24 minutes when former Arsenal player, Alexis Sanchez rose to direct an athletic header across Spurs keeper Michel Vorm from Paul Pogba’s inch-perfect cross for his eighth goal in eight appearances at Wembley stadium.
Eric Dier’s deflected shot hit the post on the stroke of half-time but Spurs had lost vital momentum and Herrera’s crisp low finish just after the hour set up an FA Cup final date for United with Chelsea 19th May.
It left Spurs suffering more FA Cup semi-final pain and with a losing sequence stretching back to their win in the last four against Arsenal here in 1991 – and Pochettino still without a trophy after four seasons at the club.
We had gone for a Manchester Utd win as our 1st pick simply based on the fact that Spurs always choke everytime a shot a trophy arises and this proved true.
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Amiens v Strasbourg
Our 1st Pick: X
Our 2nd Pick: 12
Result: 3-1
Amiens continued on their fine home form and deservedly hammered the visitors. The rout was kick started by Thomas Monconduit whose left footed shot from the centre of the box found its way to the back of the net following some lovely build up by Serge Gakpé.
The hosts who were piling on the pressure duly got their 2nd of the match when Thomas Monconduit was on the end of yet another assist by Serge Gakpé. The hosts put the match well and truly beyond the visitors when Gael Kakuta fired home after being set up by Quentin Cornette.
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The visitors did pull one back via Idriss Saadi in the 94th minute but it was nothing but a mere consolation goal.
We had gone for a draw as our 1st pick based on head to head records between these two but had a double chance as our 2nd pick and it proved accurate.
Metz v Caen
Our 1st Pick: 1
Our 2nd Pick: X
Result: 1-1
This was a rather uneventful encounter with the chances coming far and in between. The visitors did draw 1st blood when Damien da Silva scored in the 71st minute only for the hosts to rally pull level after just 2 minutes via Jessy Deminguet.
Given the general run of play, a draw seems a fair result as neither of the teams really pushed themselves to another gear which was necessary for a win.
We had gone for a home win as our 1st pick based on home advantage. We had however gone for a draw as our 2nd pick based on head to head records and this proved true.
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Racing Genk v Anderlecht
Our 1st Pick: 1
Our 2nd Pick: 12
Result: 2-1
This was what pundits like to describe as an end to end type of match as the hosts fought tooth and nail to secure a much-needed home win.
Dieumerci Ndongala pulled the hosts with his opener after just 2 minutes of play sending the home crowd wild. The visitors were not be bullied and they promptly rallied and got their deserved equaliser when star-player Lazar Markovic scored in the 20th minute
After going into the break level on the goals, the hosts came out firing on all cylinder and were duly rewarded for their relentless pressure when Leandro Trossard scored what turned out to be the winner in the 59th minute.
We had gone for a home win as our 1st choice based on current form and home ground advantage and this held true.
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Fortuna Dusseldorf v Ingolstadt fc
Our 1st Pick: 1
Our 2nd Pick: 12
Result: 3-0
Describing a one-sided match is often hard and this proved to be one of those type of matches as the visitiors offered little if anything at all in terms of goal scoring opportunities.
Rouwen Hennings pulled the industrious hosts ahead after just 7 minutes of play. It was one-way and they duly got their 2nd goal just before the break when Niko Giebelmann fired home.
Robin Bormuth put the match beyond the visitors following his 69th minute goal.
We had gone for a home win as our 1st pick based on current form and it proved accurate.
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Kaisserslautern v Dynamo Dresden
Our 1st Pick: X
Our 2nd Pick: 1
Result: 0-1
Erich Berko’s 79th minute goal for the visitors was the only thing worth noting in what was a rather cagey affair with chances coming far and in between.
Notably as well, Marco Hartmann was handed red card for the visitors in the 84th minute for a clumsy tackle but the hosts simply couldn’t make the numbers count as they rallied for a late equaliser as the visiting team defended stoically.
We had gone for a draw as our 1st pick and a home win as our 2nd based on the hosts’ home record but none proved accurate.
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Stoke City v Burnley
Our 1st Pick: 1
Our 2nd Pick: 12
Result: 1-1
Stoke City manager Paul Lambert refused to write off their Premier League survival prospects after a draw with Burnley, saying “there are still a lot of twists and turns” to come.
Ashley Barnes’ sixth goal in eight games underlined the visitors’ European credentials, but left Lambert’s side – without a win in 11 matches – four points from a position of safety with just three matches left.
Stoke had looked set for victory when Senegalese midfielder Badou Ndiaye found the bottom corner with a deflected effort in the first period.
The Potter’s bad luck amounted to Mame Biram Diouf missing a glorious opportunity to double their advantage, and Lambert appeared to console the forward as he left the pitch at the end of the first half.
Devoid of attacking thrust for much of the first half – registering just two shots on target – Burnley ramped up their efforts after the break.
A point was secured after a change a change in tactics and intensity, as Dyche’s side shortened their game and got the ball wide, instead of knocking long balls in the direction of Barnes and Chris Wood, Icelandic talisman, Gudmundsson suddenly came to the fore and the Clarets carved out a succession of opportunities before Barnes grabbed a merited equaliser.
Dyche’s team still look likely candidates for European football next term, for the first since 1966-67. They are nine points clear of eighth-placed Leicester, and look set to qualify for the Europa League barring an unlikely sequence of results.
We had gone for a home win as our 1st choice based on the fact that Stoke are in a relegation scrap with a double chance as our 2nd pick but both proved inaccurate.
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Las Palmas v Alaves
Our 1st Pick: 2
Our 2nd Pick: 12
Result: 0-4
After a goalless 1st half, the visitors drew first blood when Munir El Haddadi was on the end of Mubarak Wakaso sumptuous pass to hammer home what was to be the 1st of his two goals.
The visitors needed a second goal to give them some breathing space and it was duly scored by star-man Munir El Haddadi once again in and around the 73rd minute.
The third goal that put a nail in the coffin for the hosts was scored by Rubén Sobrino in the 79th minute following some intricate play. The 4th was scored in the 91st minute by Sobrino to condemn the hosts to a drubbing they’d like to forget.
We had gone for an away win and a double chance as our 1st and 2nd respectively based on the away sides current form and both predictions proved true.
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