Week 28:Post Match Sportpesa Mega Jackpot Analysis .How we won the bonus

SPORTPESA MEGAJACKPOT, POST-MATCH ANALYSIS – THE BREAKDOWN.

Welcome to yet another Sportpesa Megajackpot Post-Match Analysis. Let us kick off by congratulating all our clients who ended up winning the Sportpesa Megajackpot Bonuses as we got 12/17 correct predictions! There were close calls and red cards that threw some of the games off not to mentioning simply shocking results but in the end we are very happy to say that we ended up with a Sportpesa Megajackpot Winning Slip. With that in mind, below is the breakdown of the results as well as an in depth look of our research methodology in the hopes that with each loss we all gain a lesson that could potentially set us on our way back to the Sportpesa Megajackpot Bonus promise land once again in the coming week.

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CFR Cluj V CS U Craiova

Our 1st Pick: 1

Result: 1-0

A 78th minute penalty was all that separated these two stalwarts of the Romanian league. It proved to be a rather cagey affair with neither team really making inroads in either end.

The penalty was converted by Emmanuel Culio for the hosts and Cluj then went on to put e decent defensive shift for the last 12 or so minutes to ensure they bagged the maximum points.

We had gone for a home win based on historical records which gave the home side an upper hand and it proved an accurate prediction.

 

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IFK Goteborg V Orebro SK

Our 1st Pick: 2

Result: 2-0

A goal midway through the 1st half and one at the very end was enough to ensure that the hosts bagged maximum points in this Swedish league encounter.

The match was fiery as expected and it wasn’t long before the visitors found themselves a man down when Nordin was given his matching orders in and around the 23rd minute. The visitors made their numerical advantage count just 6 minutes later when Giorgi found the back of the net.

The visitors were pegged back in their own half for most of the match as expected being a man less and the hosts put the match to bed just after the stipulated 90 minutes when Omarsson made it 2 nil sending the home fans into a frenzy.

We had gone for an away win based on current form statistics but the red card changed the entire outlook of the match and nullified our prediction.

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Tombense V Operário Ferroviário

Our 1st Pick: 2

Result: 0-1

We had gone for an away win in this particular one based on the fact that the hosts were on a really awful winless run in which they hadn’t won a single match in their last 6 in the Brazilian Serie C. Operário on the other hand were in fine form and had the upper hand in the head to head stats.

A goal by Xuxa in the 63rd minute was all that was needed to ensure that the visitors continued their fine run while validating our prediction as well.

 

Ypiranga RS V Bragantino SP

Our 1st Pick: X

Result: 1-1

Ypiranga RS welcomed Bragantino SP to Estádio Olímpico Colosso da Lagoa with high hopes of beating their longtime rivals in the Brazilian Serie C. The two sides had met thrice in the past with Bragantino SP winning two matches and drawing 1 match in those meetings.

The hosts had been under-performing having not won any match in the last 3 and needed to win this one. They had been excellent while paying at home where they registered 3 wins a single loss and 2 draws in 6 matches played there.

The visitors had laudable results in their last 5 matches with 4 wins and thus came into this one as the on-form side and the fact that they had never lost against the hosts in past meetings gave them the edge.  However, based on the fact that the hosts were formidable at home despite their current form and the fact that the visitors were yet to lose a match against this particular opponent, we went for a draw as the most likely outcome and it proved an accurate prediction.

The visitors drew first blood when Matheus Peixoto scored in the 23rd minute but the hosts rallied and equalized in the second half with Rafinha the scorer in the 54th minute to ensure the spoils were shared.

 

Volta Redonda RJ V Luverdense MT

Our 1st Pick: 1

Result: 2-0

This was yet another thrilling match in the Brazilian Serie C last Saturday as Redonda welcomed Luverdense the Estádio Municipal General Raulino de Oliveira.

The hosts having played 13 matches were at position 9 with 13 points while the visitors having played 13 matches were at position 5 with 15 points.

We had gone for a home win as our pick due to the fact that the hosts had won 4 times, drawn 0 times and lost 2 times in their overall 6 home matches while the visitors despite their superior position in the table standings had lost 4 times in their overall 7 away games played. The hosts needed to move off the bottom of the pile which fueled our home win pick as well and it proved an accurate prediction.

Daniel Felipe Sa Nascimento proved to be the hero as he scored twice in the 1st half to ensure the home side bagged the maximum points. Notably, Paulo Rene was sent off in the very last minute of normal time meaning the visitors finished the match with 10 men.

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Juazeirense V Atletico Acreano

Our 1st Pick: 2

Result: 4-0

It would be safe to say we got this particular one completely wring as the hosts defied the form and stats to run riot against their fierce rivals in the Brazilian Serie C at the Estádio Estadual Jornalista Edgar Augusto Proença.

The fact that Juazeirense having played 13  matches were at position 9 with 13 points while their opponents having played 13 matches sat atop the table standings with 26 points was the main reason as to why we went for an away win as our top pick. However, as is always the case with football, matches aren’t won on paper and the hosts rallied to record a victory that will live long in the memory of the ecstatic home fans.

The two sides last played each other earlier this year with Atlético Acreano winning 5 – 0 , albeit on neutral ground which further fueled our away in pick.

Toni and Salatiel de Oliveira were the heroes of the day as they both scored twice in the 1st half to put the match well beyond reach. What made victory even more impressive was the fact that the hosts played the entire second half with 10 men as Emilio Santos Souza was given his matching orders at the very end of the 1st half.

 

Remo PA V Botafogo PB

Our 1st Pick: X

Result: 0-0

This was yet another feisty encounter as Botafogo PB and Remo PA battled in the Brazil serie C on match day 13. We had gone for a draw as our top pick based on current form and head to head records and it proved an accurate prediction as neither team found the back of the net in the stipulated time.

The hosts having played 13 matches were at position 10 with a tally of 11 points while their arch rivals having played 13 matches as well were at position 5 with an impressive 17 points to show for it. With the visitors having drawn 5 times in their away matches, we felt that this trend would be the safest to back and it proved true.

 

São Bento V Ponte Preta

Our 1st Pick: 2

Result: 0-2

In what was a thrilling match, Ponte Preta had travelled to the Estádio Moisés Lucarelli to clash with their fierce rivals in the Brazilian Serie B hoping to come away with maximum points and they were successful.

We had backed the away to win this one based not only on the current form standings but on their formidable track record away from home as well. They had won 4 times drawn once and lost just twice in their overall 5 matches played on away ground. Their last match was away against the formidable and they had comfortably beaten them with a 2 goal margin further solidifying our choice to back them for a win, and it proved to be an accurate prediction.

Junior Santos proved to be the match winner in this one as he scored two goals in either half to ensure that Ponte Preta continued on their remarkable away winning run.

 

Orlando City V Toronto fc

Our 1st Pick: 2

Result: 2-1

Chris Schuler and Dom Dwyer scored as Orlando City held on to end a nine-game losing streak with a 2-1 victory over Toronto FC at Orlando City Stadium on Saturday and nullify our prediction of an away win. We had backed Toronto to carry the day purely based on the home side’s abysmal current form in the MLS in which they had won just 6 times drawn once  and lost a mind-boggling 11 times.

The home crowd needed a response from their team and respond they did as they finally beat the odds and secured a much needed win. The Lions didn’t make it easy on themselves though as Toronto’s Nick Hagglund made it 2-1 in the fourth minute of stoppage time on nearly the last play of the match.

The two sides had met a total of 9 times with Orlando City recording just a single win whereas Toronto FC had 7 wins and 1 draw which further explains our pick but it just wasn’t to be as the home side fought valiantly to secure maximum points.

 

 

Minnesota United V Real Salt Lake

Our 1st Pick: 1

Result: 3-2

This 5 goal thriller was arguably the match of the weekend as both teams went at it right from kick off with the hosts edging their MLS rivals ever so slightly for the win and consequently proving our home win pick was an accurate one.

Darwin Quintero scored one goal and assisted on two others to help host Minnesota United FC edge Real Salt Lake 3-2 on Saturday night. The win was just the second in six games for the Loons. Minnesota overcame a sluggish first-half effort on offense with big play after big play from Quintero. The Loons needed every last one of those plays. Salt Lake nearly erased a three-goal deficit behind late heroics from Joao Plata. It wasn’t enough to help RSL avoid losing for the eighth time in 10 road matches this season. Their lacklustre away form was a factor we considered as well when we backed the home team for the win.

The visitors did rally late on to cut the deficit to a solitary goal but it was a case of a little too late as the hosts held on for a memorable home win.

 

Colorado Rapids v Houston Dynamo

Our 1st Pick: X

Result: 0-0

We had gone for a draw as our pick in this MLS clash based on current form and head to head records and it proved to be an accurate prediction as these two settled for a share of the spoils by the end of regulation time.

Scoring chances were rare and fleeting as the Houston Dynamo and Colorado Rapids played to scoreless draw on Saturday at Dick’s Sporting Goods Park in Commerce City, Colo. Goalkeepers Tim Howard of Colorado and Joe Willis of Houston recorded their fourth and third shutouts, respectively, of the season, but were seldom tested. Howard made just two saves and Willis turned away three shots in the match between the two long-time Western Conference rivals.

The two sides had met 31 times in the past, Colorado Rapids having won 11 times, Houston Dynamo 12 times and a total of 8 matches ended as draws. This was the main reason we backed a draw as the most likely outcome and it proved to be an accurate prediction.

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Tokyo Verdy V Renofa Yamaguchi

Our 1st Pick: 2

Result: 3-1

This was yet another match that threw all the form books and stats out the window as the hosts registered a convincing win against their much fancied rivals in the Japanese League Division 2.

Tokyo Verdy having played 22 matches was at position 10 with 32 points coming into this one while their rivals having played the same number of matches were at position 3 with an impressive tally of 40 points. The fact that Renofa had won 5 times drawn 5 times and lost just 2 times in their overall 12 matches played on away ground was a key factor in our decision to back them to win this one. Head to head records also gave the visitors a slight edge as the two sides had met a total of 5 times in the past with the hosts winning just once while the rivals had beaten them thrice and drawn just once. However, history was re-written as the hosts ran out as comfortable winners.

Douglas Vieira and Tomohiro Taira pulled the hosts 2 goals ahead with goals in the 6th and 69th minute respectively. The visitors did pull one back when Kazuhito Kishida scored in the 74th but, any hopes of a comeback were effectively extinguished when Jik Ri Yong scored the home sides 3rd goal in the 78th minute in what was a truly pulsating encounter.

The home win meant our prediction was inaccurate, in retrospect, when in doubt we have learnt that it’s always safer to back the home team in the lively Japanese League.

 

Niigata Albirex V Yokohama

Our 1st Pick: 1

Result: 0-1

A solitary goal by Akira Toshima in and around the 73rd minute was all that was needed to ensure that the away side walked away with maximum points in the Japanese League division 2, thereby negating our pick of a home win.

We expected a tight battle as Niigata Albirex faced off with Yokohama with the stats slightly giving the home side an edge thereby explaining our pick. The fact that the visitors had lost 10 times away from home was key in our decision making system but once again, this game we love threw us a curve ball as they squashed their trend and emerged victorious.

The two sides had met a total of 9 times in the past, with Niigata Albirex having won 8 times, while Yokohama had only won once. This proved to be of little consequence as Yokohama defied all odds for a truly deserved morale boosting win.

 

 

Tochigi SC V Montedio Yamagata

Our 1st Pick: 1

Result: 1-0

A solitary goal by star player, Kazuki Nishiya midway through the 2nd half proved to be the winning one as the home side held on for a narrow win and consequently validated our pre-match prediction of this spicy Japanese League Division 2 clash.

The hosts, having played 22 matches were at position 18 with 23 points coming into this one while their highly fancied rivals having played the same number of matches, were at position 9 with a tally of 34 points. The head to head records also favored the away side as he two sides had met  a total of  7 times in the past, Tochigi SC winning twice, Montedio Yamagata 3 times and 2 matches ending in a draw. However, we backed the underdog in this one as their opponents were set to be without several key players due to injury.

It was risky to back the underdog but we felt that the absence of key personnel for the away side would be a key deciding factor and it proved to be an accurate assessment.

 

Omiya Ardija V Iota Trinita

Our 1st Pick: 1

Result: 1-0

Omiya Ardija were seeking for a win when they welcomed Oita Trinita at NACK5 Stadium and a successfully converted penalty by Genki Omae in the 4th minute was enough to secure a much needed 3 points for the home side and consequently validating our home win pick in yet another Japanese League Division 2 match.

We based our pick on current form as in their last 5 recent matches, the hosts had won 4 times, drawn 1 time and lost none. Their opponents were superior in terms of table standings as they travelled having played 22 matches and at position 2 with a commendable 40 points compared to the hosts who having played a similar number of matches, were at position 7 with 35 points. However, recent head to head to records told a different tale as in the last 5 h2h, Omiya Ardija had won 4 times while the highly favored Oita Trinita had won just once which explains our underdog pick.

Once again, backing the underdog was risky but we felt that current form and recent head to head records were enough to tip the scales and it proved to be an accurate assessment.

 

Kalmar V Djurgardens IF

Our 1st Pick: 2

Result: 0-1

A 4th minute goal by Jonathan Augustinsson proved to be the vital one in ensuring the visitors walked away with a vital 3 points in the fiery Swedish Allsvenskan and consequently validating our away win pre-match prediction.

Kalmar came into this match having played 12 matches and sitting at position 6 with 20 points while the visitors having played a similar number of matches were at position 4 with 21 points. A solitary point was all that separated these two and we expected a really tight affair and it proved to be the case.

Despite the fact that the hosts had lost none of their 5 matches played at home ground this season, we backed the away side to nick it mainly on previous head to head records whereby, having met a total of 36 times in the past, Kalmar had won 14 times while Djurgarden IF had a superior tally of 17 wins and 5 draws.

It was a closely fought encounter but our prediction proved true by the end of regulation time.

 

Norrkoping V BK Hacken

Our 1st Pick: 1

Result: 2-1

The last match in the Sportpesa Megajackpot also proved our pre-match prediction of a home win true as the hosts edged their bitter rivals to secure a vital 3 points in yet another Swedish Allsvenskan match.

We expected the Östgötaporten Stadium to be packed with vociferous fans when Norrkoping and BK Hacken squared off and it proved true as the home fans came out in large numbers. The hosts came into this one having played 12 matches and sitting at position 3 with 24 points, while their rivals having played a similar number of matches sat at position 8 with a tally of 18 points.

We backed the home side to secure maximum points mainly due to their exceptional home form. They had won 5 times drawn 0 times and lost just once in the 6 matches they had played at their home ground this season. The fact that the visitors had lost 4 times in their overall 6 matches played on away grounds cemented our choice to back the home side.

The fact that Norrkoping had won all the previous 5 head to head encounters was what tipped the scale and influenced our decision to back them for a win and it proved to be an accurate assessment.

The home side drew first blood when Simon Thern found the back of the net in and around the 19th minute. The visitors were resilient and were duly rewarded with and equalizer in the 23rd minute courtesy of a Paulinho goal to set the match up for a dramatic ending. As luck would have it, the winner came on late on in and around the 80th minute via a Kari Arkivuo unlucky own goal sending the vocal home crowd into a frenzy.

That’s it for another pulsating week of our sportpesa megajackpot post-match breakdown. There were some surprising results but with each failure one can only hope to learn. Here’s a tip for all our sports betting enthusiasts, sometimes stats may favor a particular team but dig deeper and trust by your gut. Sometime your winning slip could be hinged on you backing the underdog and going against the norm. As they say, fortune favors the bold. Once again, congratulations to all our clients who ended up winning the Sportpesa Megajackpot Bonus last week and here’s to many more wins. Be on the lookout for our Sportpesa Megajackpot Predictions this week.

At Multibets Kenya, we have something for everyone and always remember to bet responsibly.

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